BAT is currently consolidating at the bottom within the 0.094–0.098 range, with shrinking trading volume indicating chip concentration and a resonance with improving risk appetite. In the short term, buoyed by Bitcoin's renewed bullish sentiment and improved liquidity, BAT is likely to break through the 0.098 resistance range and test the 0.100 round number, but caution is still required for heightened volatility triggered by major coins facing resistance and retracing. In the medium to long term, institutional allocation willingness remains, and the project's fundamentals are steadily progressing. Attention should be paid to value realization driven by protocol upgrades and user growth. Manage position sizing, buy on dips. Short-term resistance at 0.098, support at 0.095. Core recommendation: follow the trend and use dynamic take-profit strategies.

Recent daily charts show BAT oscillating repeatedly within the 0.094–0.098 range, with trading volume gradually shrinking since the start of the month, indicating a stalemate between bulls and bears. After the April 15 close retraced to the 0.095 area and found support, it rebounded to 0.0974, forming an overall bottoming pattern. Given that there has not been large-scale liquidation in Bitcoin futures and market leverage remains at historically low-to-moderate levels, even small capital inflows or outflows can amplify price volatility, providing an opportunity for BAT's short-term recovery.

Bitcoin futures open interest has halved from $42 billion in October 2025 to $21 billion, indicating a deep market deleveraging. Current low leverage means even small capital inflows can significantly impact prices. Funding rates have fluctuated sharply between -12% and +7%, showing rapid shifts in market sentiment. Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions, no major liquidations have occurred since early February, reflecting a healthier position structure. Bitcoin awaits a clear directional trend amid heightened market sensitivity.

Analysis: The market has undergone a round of deep deleveraging, and Bitcoin is waiting to choose a direction.

After tensions in the Middle East eased, Bitcoin repeatedly hit four-week highs, breaking above $74,000 and approaching the key risk control threshold of $75,000, with the negative Gamma effect yet to be fully released. Declining oil prices and temporarily alleviated geopolitical risks have boosted market risk appetite, with overall bullish sentiment significantly improving. A relatively loose liquidity environment is driving increased Bitcoin options bull positioning and accelerating ETF net inflows, lifting risk premiums across major asset classes. This, in turn, is leading to short-term premium appreciation for small and mid-cap tokens such as BAT. However, if mainstream assets encounter resistance and pull back at key levels, BAT will also face the risk of increased volatility.

Bitcoin surged past $72,000, rising about 3% to approximately $72,300, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly initiated talks with Lebanon, supported by Trump's call for reduced Israeli military actions to maintain a ceasefire. Bitcoin's 24-hour gain of around 2% outpaced other major cryptocurrencies and coincided with a rebound in U.S. stocks and a drop in oil prices. Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from tech stocks, influenced more by geopolitical and risk-averse factors.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through $72,000, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost market sentiment.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where price fluctuations may intensify due to negative gamma effects in the derivatives market. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, previously a major resistance in January. Breaking above $75,000 could accelerate the uptrend, while a decline may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range marks a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through a four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

The widening spread of Ethereum over Bitcoin and the expansion of stablecoin supply indicate growing institutional willingness to allocate to high-risk assets. Continuous net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and significant options traders betting on high bullish positions provide lasting capital support for the market. For BAT, its ecosystem construction in decentralized advertising, data rights, and privacy protection is the core driver of its long-term value. In the future, attention should be paid to protocol upgrades, partnership expansions, and active user growth to assess the token’s resilience and growth potential during a sustained bull market or consolidation phase.

Bitcoin call options with an $80,000 strike price on Deribit have surged to over $1.6 billion in open interest, surpassing $1.41 billion in $60,000 put options, signaling a market shift amid improving sentiment. Analysts link this to a temporary US-Iran ceasefire easing oil prices and inflation concerns, boosting expectations for Fed rate cuts and benefiting risk assets like Bitcoin. Asset manager 21Shares notes that with ongoing ETF inflows and institutional holdings, Bitcoin could approach $100,000 by Q2 end if geopolitical and regulatory conditions improve, though risks remain if Middle East tensions escalate.

Analysis: Bitcoin $80K call options open interest exceeds $1.6 billion, market bets on a rally driven by a combination of trend reversal and rate cut expectations.

Basic Attention

Fed Chair nominee Walsh may struggle to secure congressional approval before May 15

Müller: The possibility of an interest rate adjustment at the April meeting cannot be ruled out yet.

3 Paths Ahead: Kraken Maps Warsh-Led Fed Scenarios That Could Shift Crypto out of Range

Federal Reserve Beige Book: War Intensifies Uncertainty, U.S. Businesses Adopt a Wait-and-See Approach

The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in April reaches 98.4%.

Who is Kevin Warsh, Trump’s Federal Reserve nominee?

Musallem: Oil price shocks may push core inflation close to 3%

The Federal Reserve's Musalem: The oil shock may keep core inflation around 3%, and interest rates will remain unchanged for a while.

US economic activity continued to increase at a slight-to-modest pace across most regions as the war with Iran generated a new wave of uncertainty and higher energy costs, the Federal Reserve said.

The Federal Reserve's Beige Book: The war against Iran initiated by the U.S. is seen as a major source of uncertainty, with energy costs soaring across all regions.

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BAT price today is 0.10, with a live price change of 2.79 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade BAT on Bybit-eu.

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