The MIM market has shown marginal short-term sentiment improvement, with both on-chain and trading data indicating a rebound in buying interest. However, overall trading volume has not seen an effective breakout, leaving the dominant direction still unclear. Current prices are consolidating within a range, and technical indicators show obvious divergence between bulls and bears. Only a breakout above the recent high (suggest using the latest peak for observation, with reference to the upper edge of the range) accompanied by increased volume can confirm a trend reversal; otherwise, continued range-bound movement is expected. Trading advice: Control position sizes, deploy partial positions at both ends of the range, set stop-loss closely at the lower edge of the range, and promptly reduce position on any false breakout. Do not chase gains with heavy positions; trend confirmation requires further expansion in trading volume.

Recently, market sentiment has eased, with on-chain and participant sentiment indicators showing a rebound in buying interest. However, overall trading volume has not yet increased significantly, indicating that neither bulls nor bears have become dominant. Short-term traders can take advantage of improving sentiment for tentative small-position entries, but should be alert for false breakouts during this process and keep positions flexible.

Recent candlestick patterns show MIM prices moving in a narrow consolidation range, with short-term moving averages showing signs of convergence and clear divergence in bullish and bearish momentum. If prices break above the range high with expanding trading volume, it may confirm a trend reversal and continued recovery. If volume remains subdued, the market may continue to consolidate within the range, and the effectiveness of range support levels should be closely monitored.

Given that sentiment has only just started to improve and more data is needed for confirmation, heavy one-sided positioning is not recommended. Positions can be built gradually at both ends of the range, with take-profit and stop-loss set according to previous highs and lows. In the short-term, pay close attention to volume-price divergence signals, reducing position size or stopping out promptly on any false breakout to avoid further drawdowns. Only consider adding to positions once the trend becomes clearer.

MAGIC•INTERNET•MONEY (Bitcoin)

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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