NEAR is currently consolidating above $1.40, with a balanced tug-of-war between bulls and bears. In the short term, attention should be paid to the $1.35 support level; as long as it holds, the upward channel is likely to continue, but a break below it poses a risk of retracement. Price movement is highly correlated with Bitcoin—whether Bitcoin can break through the $75,000 mark will directly guide NEAR's capital flows. Institutional investors and large holders increasing long positions highlight medium- and long-term bullish confidence, but recent DeFi security incidents combined with liquidity disturbances mean short-term sentiment remains volatile. Structurally declining supply and protocol revenue growth lay the foundation for long-term value, suggesting an upward shift in the price center. Strategy recommendation: pay attention to adding positions on pullback, while strictly controlling risk with stop-loss on the downside.

Recent daily charts show that NEAR began a rally at $1.18 at the end of March, advancing through multiple surges and reaching a high of $1.44 in mid-April, thus forming a clear upward channel. Recently, the price faced resistance at $1.42–$1.44 and retraced, but has stabilized near $1.40, with trading volumes maintained at around 3 million NEAR, reflecting a balance between bulls and bears. Overall, if the bulls can hold above $1.40, the price is likely to continue along the upward channel; if it falls below $1.35, it may test the channel’s lower support.

NEAR Protocol gained 0.69% to trade near $1.34 despite broader market declines, holding steady around key short-term averages ($1.33-$1.34). Trading volume surged over 30% to $300 million, supporting price consolidation without major news events. The price faces resistance near $1.41 and support around $1.30, with technical patterns suggesting a rising channel. Broader market and upcoming U.S. CPI data may influence NEAR's next move.

NEAR Protocol Holds Steady Above $1.33 as NEAR Volume Supports Price

Following Bitcoin’s breakthroughs of the $73,000 and $74,000 key levels, overall market risk appetite has increased significantly, boosting the performance of mid- and small-cap assets like NEAR. NEAR’s price also broke out of its previous consolidation range and, on April 13, briefly surpassed $1.42, indicating that risk sentiment is highly linked to Bitcoin’s volatility. Should Bitcoin break above the $75,000 benchmark, we may see an even larger rotation of capital; conversely, a pullback could intensify volatility for smaller tokens.

Bitcoin surged to $73,480 amid positive U.S. discussions, creating optimism for risk assets like $NEAR Coin. Analyst Michael Poppe highlights $NEAR’s potential to rise from $3–$4 to $5 or even $10, citing factors such as token inflation halving post-2025, high staking rates, strategic token burns, and revenue growth. Market shifts and reduced leverage in Bitcoin futures may further support $NEAR’s rally, with valuations possibly reaching $7–$10 within a year.

NEAR’s Upward Potential Shines in Dynamic Crypto Landscape

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Recently, large traders have continued to accumulate long positions in NEAR, showing a bullish outlook for the medium- to long-term trend. Data show that in one long position with 7x leverage, additional NEAR was bought, reflecting strong confidence among whales in building positions at the current price range and expectations for further upside.

Trader Loracle has increased their 7x leveraged CL short position to $19.76 million and added a 5x leveraged TON long position. They also hold long positions in BTC, NEAR, LIT, TAO, PAXG, and ENA, with a total value exceeding $47.17 million.

Trader Loracle increased short positions on CL to $19.76 million, with total long positions exceeding $47.17 million.

A security event at the Rhea Finance platform involved losses of nearly $18.4 million, some of which were NEAR assets that have since been recovered. Nevertheless, this incident exposed risks in cross-pool liquidity and cross-contract slippage protection mechanisms. While fund recovery and freezing measures have partially allayed market panic, trust in the overall NEAR DeFi ecosystem is still being tested, and in the near term, some liquidity providers may remain on the sidelines.

Rhea Finance's post-attack review reveals losses of about $18.4 million, much higher than the initial $7.6 million estimate. The attacker used complex transactions and fake token pools to manipulate liquidity, causing margin liquidations and draining reserve funds. So far, around $11.2 million has been recovered or frozen, including returned USDC and NEAR assets and $4.34 million in frozen USDT with Tether's help.

Rhea Finance Attack Retrospective: Losses Expand to $18.40 million, Some Funds Recovered

Several analysts emphasize that with inflation halving in 2025, high staking ratios, and ongoing token burn mechanisms, NEAR’s long-term supply pressure will decline significantly. In addition, the trend of protocol revenue growth remains robust, likely supporting network value. Overall, if the macro environment and protocol fundamentals remain positive, the price is expected to gradually reclaim historical highs and reach new peaks.

NEAR Protocol

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Rhea Finance Discloses Cause of Attack: Slippage Protection Logic Flaw Leads to $18.40 Million Loss

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

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NEAR price today is 1.40, with a live price change of -2.06 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade NEAR on Bybit-eu.

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