NUSD has benefited from the inflow of short-term arbitrage capital and is currently maintaining a slight premium within the pegged range, with improved market liquidity providing price support. However, the dynamic relationship between the USDC/USDT premium and liquidity suggests that if market liquidity slows down and the premium turns negative, NUSD is prone to discount risk and a potential breach of the lower peg boundary. Strict position control is recommended, along with closely monitoring liquidity indicators. Stop-loss and hedging strategies should be deployed when prices approach the lower peg boundary (1.00±0.002) to prevent NAV drawdown caused by medium- and long-term volatility.

Recently, the USDC/USDT premium index turning positive reflects a warming of endogenous market liquidity. In this context, as a platform stablecoin, NUSD can gain minor premium support due to arbitrage demand. Technically, NUSD prices continue to fluctuate within the pegged range, and the moving average system remains flat, indicating no clear short-term trend deviation. Driven by improved liquidity, short-term arbitrage funds may use NUSD to facilitate cross-currency exchanges, thereby pushing its market transaction price slightly above par.

Although short-term sentiment is positive, the linkage between the USDC/USDT premium and overall market liquidity indicators suggests that medium- to long-term pressure may emerge. Liquidity growth is unlikely to consistently support steady long positions, and when arbitrage unwind or large liquidations occur, NUSD could face discount risk. Additionally, if the premium index returns to negative territory, pressure on market makers to replenish will intensify, warranting caution about a potential breach of the lower bound of the peg range. It is recommended to monitor liquidity indicators, set reasonable stop-loss measures, and implement dynamic hedging strategies to minimize medium- to long-term volatility risk.

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