OBT's short-term performance is driven by Bitcoin's strong breakout, with daily trading volume surging and closing at $0.001082. Although momentum is released, it remains dependent on sustained market sentiment. Key technical support is at $0.00100-$0.00103; if this level holds, further upside may be possible, with focus on the effectiveness of breaking the high resistance at $0.00110-$0.00112. The mid-to-long term direction still awaits confirmation from Bitcoin's trend. If the market steady holds $75,000, the crypto sector may see a valuation recovery; otherwise, beware of liquidity tightening risks. It is advised to dynamically monitor moving averages and core market levels, adjusting positions flexibly to handle volatility.

Recently, Bitcoin has repeatedly broken 4-week highs and held above the $75,000 mark several times. Derivatives market negative gamma effect has increased short-term volatility, warming up market risk appetite. On April 17, OBT surged with high trading volume, peaking at $0.001109 and closing at $0.001082, forming a bullish candlestick with a long lower shadow, indicating bulls rushed in with the market's upward momentum. Current market sentiment is positive, and short-term upward momentum may continue, but attention must be paid to whether Bitcoin can steadily hold above $75,000 to maintain an overall bullish environment.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Since early April, OBT has been oscillating in the $0.001000-$0.001058 range, with short-term moving averages in a bullish alignment but flattening. Recently, price started at $0.001019, closed above $0.00105 for three consecutive days, and broke the previous high of $0.001081 on April 17 to set a new record. Trading volume slightly exceeded the average, indicating certain follow-through in the breakout. Key resistance is at $0.00110-$0.00112; a steady breakout of this range may open the next upward move. Watch support at $0.00103 and $0.00100, where the bull-bear dividing line is evident.

From a broader perspective, OBT's price has hovered around $0.001 long-term, with no clear trend formation yet. If Bitcoin maintains its main bullish moving average pattern this year, it may lead a valuation recovery for altcoins. Conversely, if market liquidity tightens or unfavorable macro factors arise, a mid-to-long term correction risk remains. It is advised to watch whether Bitcoin's $75,000 support is lost and whether OBT holds its key moving average levels to determine if intrinsic value confirmation is achieved going forward.

Orbiter Finance

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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