CAT's short-term price action is significantly influenced by the rebound in risk appetite and Bitcoin's volatility. The current level of $0.00000193 is a key support; if CAT holds above this, bulls may push to test the $0.00000210–$0.00000212 resistance zone. Conversely, breaking below $0.00000190 increases the risk of retreating to $0.00000180. It is recommended to closely monitor Fed policy and Bitcoin movements as anchors for trading decisions, respond flexibly to volatility, and follow key breakout strategies for short-term trades.

Recently, global geopolitical risks have eased and the Federal Reserve’s policy shifted more hawkish, leading risk assets to stage a temporary rebound. The crypto market followed US stock market movements, and institutional bullish sentiment for Bitcoin ETFs and large holdings further boosted liquidity. Against this backdrop, CAT began a rally from a low near $0.00000158 on April 12, with two consecutive strong bullish candles breaking through the $0.00000175 resistance, highlighting short-term bullish dominance. Market sentiment is visibly warming, providing positive support for CAT.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

As Bitcoin repeatedly tests the $75,000 level, the negative gamma effect in derivatives markets potentially amplifies volatility, with both downside and upside moves having significant magnifying effects. As a secondary crypto asset, CAT is highly sensitive to Bitcoin's short-term price swings. If Bitcoin successfully stabilizes above $75,000 and challenges $78,000, it could drive a secondary acceleration for CAT; but a sharp decline would entail notable downward risk for CAT, with its volatility expected to increase.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

On the daily chart, CAT found initial support at $0.00000158, and price and volume moved well together during the rebound. On April 16, CAT hit a high of $0.000002112, then retraced to close at $0.000001963, breaking away from its previous sideways pattern. If CAT can stabilize near $0.00000193 support, short-term bulls could target the $0.00000210–$0.00000212 resistance area again; breaking below $0.00000190 may lead to a pullback toward $0.00000180. Traders are now closely watching these key technical levels, with buying and selling sentiment focused around these points.

Simon's Cat

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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