WUSD has benefited from improved market liquidity at the beginning of the year, maintaining its $1 peg range without significant premium or discount, and its value-preserving property has been recognized by capital. In the short term, if liquidity further improves, trading volume and demand are expected to increase temporarily; it is recommended to pay attention to sudden changes in trading and funding rates to seize opportunities. In the medium to long term, overall market risk appetite remains low, and prudent investors should consider WUSD's low volatility as a safe haven for funds, balancing returns and risks through flexible positions and arbitrage strategies, while remaining alert to the adverse impact on liquidity caused by capital outflows during market downturns.

At the beginning of the year, signals of improvement began to appear in the digital asset market, with Bitcoin once surpassing $90,000, driving overall liquidity recovery. However, total market capitalization has not returned to its yearly high, and market sentiment remains cautious and wait-and-see. As a stablecoin pegged to the US dollar, WUSD continued to fluctuate within a narrow range under this backdrop, with its price steady in the peg range and no significant premium or discount volatility. The current situation shows that although market liquidity has marginally improved, it is still insufficient to trigger a substantial repricing of stablecoins, and traders continue to affirm its value-preserving attribute.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

At the start of the year, the crypto market saw a rare upward breakthrough with BTC surpassing $90,000 and major altcoins like ETH and SOL rising. Several altcoins, including PEPE and IP, surged over 20%. However, key indicators show the market is still in a "price repair" phase with overall market cap below previous highs, a low altseason index, and fear-dominated sentiment. While some view this as a buying opportunity amid improving liquidity and macroeconomic developments, caution remains advised.

Speculation sentiment rises again at the beginning of the year, is the altcoin season repeating?

Based on expectations of improved liquidity, the market may see a short-term rebound from the bottom. Warming up of capital flows is likely to drive up stablecoin trading demand, and trading volumes and fees on exchanges may temporarily increase. However, due to its inherent price stability, WUSD acts more as a transactional medium and hedging tool, with minimal price fluctuation. Short-term traders can focus on liquidity indicators and sudden changes in funding rates to capture windows of increased trading activity.

From a long-term macro cycle perspective, some analysts remain cautious or even slightly bearish about the future market, emphasizing the pressure risks in large-cycle bear markets. At the same time, trend investing concepts remind investors that the allocation value of stablecoins lies mainly in their extremely low volatility and value preservation rather than profit maximization. In this market environment, investors should prioritize risk control, make flexible position allocations, utilize WUSD’s low volatility for cross-asset arbitrage or yield optimization, and remain vigilant to the potential liquidity shocks caused by large-scale capital outflows.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

Worldwide USD

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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