Driven by easing geopolitical tensions and the rebound of mainstream assets, ZBCN saw active short-term trading, departing from the $0.00255 bottom area and making a move toward the previous high of $0.00293. Technical support remains solid, but it faces high-level resistance and volatility risks amplified by negative Gamma in derivatives. From a medium- to long-term perspective, marginal tightening of liquidity suppresses small- and mid-cap projects, and ZBCN's valuation still awaits continued validation by fundamentals. It is recommended to pay attention to high-level consolidation and pullback opportunities in the short term; for medium- and long-term allocation, closely monitor liquidity changes and asset risk premium.

Recent progress in negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, as well as the easing of tensions in the Middle East, have effectively improved market risk appetite. At the same time, Bitcoin continued its rally, rising back above $74,000, which led mainstream assets to rebound. ZBCN performed actively during the overall style rotation in the crypto market, moving away from the $0.00255 support area seen in early April, and on April 16, surged sharply intraday to around $0.00287, with trading volume notably expanding. This reflects proactive short-term buying, and market sentiment has clearly warmed up.

Bitcoin surged past $72,000, rising about 3% to approximately $72,300, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly initiated talks with Lebanon, supported by Trump's call for reduced Israeli military actions to maintain a ceasefire. Bitcoin's 24-hour gain of around 2% outpaced other major cryptocurrencies and coincided with a rebound in U.S. stocks and a drop in oil prices. Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from tech stocks, influenced more by geopolitical and risk-averse factors.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through $72,000, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost market sentiment.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

The daily chart shows that ZBCN has established support several times in the $0.00255–0.00260 area, forming a solid short-term bottom. Since April 8, the price has rebounded swiftly after three pullbacks, confirming buying interest in this area. The current price is approaching the previous high of $0.00293 set on April 5, facing a short-term resistance test. This level corresponds with Bitcoin’s volatility breakout near $75,000, and the negative Gamma effect in derivatives may amplify price swings. Short-term traders are cautioned about heightened volatility risk at these levels.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where price fluctuations may intensify due to negative gamma effects in the derivatives market. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, previously a major resistance in January. Breaking above $75,000 could accelerate the uptrend, while a decline may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range marks a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through a four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Although institutions continue to increase holdings in Bitcoin ETFs and maintain allocations to crypto assets over the medium to long term, the Fed’s recent hawkish rhetoric suggests liquidity may tighten further, making small- and mid-cap tokens more susceptible to funding contractions. ZBCN needs to find a balance between the macro liquidity environment and market risk appetite; the current medium- to long-term trend remains to be tested, and investors should beware of sudden market sentiment reversals impacting the price.

Analyst Ali highlights a key "value range" for Bitcoin between $63,111 and $70,685, where significant holdings create strong support. Falling below $63,111 may lead to a liquidity void. Bitcoin is also nearing a crucial decade-long upward trend line around $56,000–$60,000, historically a buildup phase before major rallies. Current volatility could represent a generational entry opportunity based on long-term trends and on-chain liquidity.

Analyst: Key "value range" for Bitcoin emerges, current volatility may present a cycle-level entry opportunity.

Analyst Ai highlights a key "value range" for Bitcoin between $63,111 and $70,685, where significant holdings create strong support. Falling below $63,111 could lead to a liquidity vacuum. Bitcoin is also nearing a crucial decade-long upward trend line around $56,000–$60,000, historically a buildup phase before major rallies. Current volatility may represent a generational entry opportunity based on long-term trends and on-chain liquidity.

Analyst: Key "value range" for Bitcoin emerges, current volatility may represent a cyclical entry opportunity.

Zebec Network

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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