ARTY is currently constrained by market sell pressure and concentrated liquidity, with the $0.054–$0.055 range forming key support. If ETF inflows continue, it may trigger a short-term rebound; however, breaking the $0.059–$0.060 resistance requires higher trading volume. Long positions in futures are cooling down and options volatility is stabilizing, indicating limited downside but insufficient upward momentum. In the medium- to long-term, the macro interest rate environment and progress in blockchain security and compliance will influence its asset allocation appeal. It is recommended to monitor capital flows and policy guidance, control position sizes for the short term, and selectively accumulate on dips when there are signs of fundamental improvement for the medium to long term.

Recent on-chain data shows that the net inflow indicator for spot trading volumes has turned negative, indicating increased overall selling pressure. At the same time, institutional Bitcoin ETFs have seen several consecutive weeks of large net inflows, boosting risk appetite and shifting the market from 'fear' to 'neutral.' Against this backdrop of sentiment games, ARTY price retreated from its April 19 peak of $0.0712 to close at $0.05415 on April 28, falling more than 20% and showing clear short-term pressure. However, liquidity is concentrated in the $0.054–$0.056 range, so if ETF capital support continues, ARTY may find an opportunity for sentiment-driven rebound.

Glassnode's latest report highlights intensified market tug-of-war with spot CVD turning negative, indicating increased selling pressure and emerging bearish sentiment. Futures show rising risk appetite but declining long funding rates, reflecting growing bearishness. Options suggest reduced downside protection demand and neutralizing volatility. Meanwhile, US spot ETFs see rising MVRV and inflows, boosting investor interest and supporting cautious optimism amid stable long-term holder confidence.

Glassnode: Market bullish and bearish struggles intensify, spot CVD turns negative indicating increased selling pressure, but ETF inflows provide support.

Bitcoin rose 2% to $7,910 and Ethereum 3% to $2,388 amid easing geopolitical tensions, boosting Asian markets with Japan's Nikkei 225 and South Korea's Kospi hitting record highs. The US spot Bitcoin ETF saw $823.7 million net inflows for the fourth consecutive week. The crypto fear and greed index improved from 29 (fear) to 47 (neutral). Analyst Dominick John attributes gains to ETF inflows, technical breakthroughs, and reduced risk aversion.

Analyst: Both the crypto market and Asian stock markets rise amid easing geopolitical tensions.

On the daily chart, ARTY has stabilized after multiple tests around the $0.054–$0.055 area, forming short-term support. The upper resistance lies in the $0.059–$0.060 range, and a breakout may trigger a technical rebound after a minor pullback. In futures markets, the long funding rate continues to decline, signaling a cooling of bullish sentiment; implied volatility in options is neutralizing and protective buying is decreasing, which may mean downward momentum is nearly exhausted. If trading volume does not increase, breaking resistance will be difficult, and the impact of large players' disagreements on price should be closely monitored.

As major central banks around the world hold policy meetings, they generally lean towards keeping rates unchanged, but their assessments of geopolitical tensions and energy supply will dictate the pace of future monetary policy. Expectations of oil supply shortages and lingering Middle East tensions may trigger market volatility when risk appetite rises. Meanwhile, increasing attention is being paid to blockchain security and compliance, raising requirements for healthy ecosystem development. In this macro and regulatory environment, if ARTY continues to enhance its technology and security capabilities and gains compliance support, it may demonstrate medium- to long-term value in broader asset allocation.

Danske Bank analyst Asger Wilhelm Dalsjo highlights that with the Middle East conflict entering its ninth week, central banks will assess its current and future economic impacts. This week, the Bank of Japan, Bank of Canada, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and European Central Bank will hold policy meetings. While all are expected to keep interest rates unchanged, their evaluations of the conflict's economic effects will be closely watched, making monetary policy decisions the main market driver.

Analyst: Interest rate decision will be the main market driver, focus on the impact of Middle East conflict.

Artyfact

The market is focused on the Federal Reserve's assessment of rising inflation and its policy path.

Reminder: Please pay close attention to the following (all times are in Beijing time).

Australia’s inflation remained above the Reserve Bank’s 2-3% target band as higher fuel costs from Middle East supply disruptions compounded already-elevated price pressures to keep policymakers on a tightening path.

Uncertainty around the economic outlook and a leadership transition at the US central bank loom large over this week’s meeting of Federal Reserve officials, who are expected to leave interest rates unchanged on Wednesday.

Economists: The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged, waiting for changes in employment and inflation.

Mexico’s central bank will consider one more interest rate cut at its May meeting that may bring an end to the easing cycle it started two years ago, Governor Victoria Rodriguez Ceja said.

The Fed is set to hold rates in what’s likely Powell’s last meeting as chair - then it’ll be Kevin Warsh’s turn in what has become a political hotseat under Donald Trump

UAE Quits OPEC After 59 Years, BTC Slides Below $76K Amid Hormuz Supply Shock

Iran launches airstrikes on US bases in Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar

Ukrainian drone attack ignites Tuapse oil refinery, escalating energy strikes

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