Recently, BR's volatility has been significantly influenced by the easing of macro-geopolitical tensions and the negative gamma effect of Bitcoin. The high volatility characteristic is expected to persist in the short term. On the technical side, the 0.11–0.12 USDT range serves as a key support. If this support is breached, further declines could follow; conversely, stabilization accompanied by a recovery in trading volume may lead to a test of the 0.18–0.19 USDT resistance. Strategically, it is recommended to maintain flexible positions, pay attention to Bitcoin's main trend confirmation and capital inflows, and increase allocation only after a clear market uptrend. In the medium term, focus on buying at the bottom and selling at the top.

The recent easing of tensions in the Middle East propelled Bitcoin's rapid rise, prompting a brief return of market risk appetite and a synchronized surge in small and medium-cap tokens, including BR. On April 15, BR spiked above 0.2586 USDT with expanded volume, but quickly retraced below 0.15 USDT as overall risk sentiment turned cautious. This round of market action illustrates the sensitivity to macro-geopolitical positives; however, once risk appetite shifts, volatility is amplified.

Bitcoin surged past $72,000, rising about 3% to approximately $72,300, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly initiated talks with Lebanon, supported by Trump's call for reduced Israeli military actions to maintain a ceasefire. Bitcoin's 24-hour gain of around 2% outpaced other major cryptocurrencies and coincided with a rebound in U.S. stocks and a drop in oil prices. Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from tech stocks, influenced more by geopolitical and risk-averse factors.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through $72,000, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost market sentiment.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

When Bitcoin approached the $75,000 mark, a negative gamma effect emerged, intensifying turbulence in the derivatives markets and subsequently spreading across the crypto asset sector. Between April 14 and 16, BR's intraday volatility notably surged, with the Bollinger Bands expanding and peak trading volume appearing immediately after the rebound, indicating fierce short-term long-short battle. If Bitcoin continues to fluctuate within key volatility ranges, BR may retain its highly volatile profile.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where price fluctuations may intensify due to negative gamma effects in the derivatives market. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, previously a major resistance in January. Breaking above $75,000 could accelerate the uptrend, while a decline may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range marks a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through a four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

The daily chart shows BR received multiple buy-side supports in the 0.11–0.12 USDT range, forming a short-term bottom; the 0.18–0.19 USDT region gathers resistance from previous highs. Recently, trading volume has shrunk significantly. The MACD fast and slow lines continue to oscillate below the zero axis, requiring a new upsurge and golden cross confirmation. If the price holds above the 0.11 USDT support with rising volume, it could retest the 0.18 USDT resistance; otherwise, beware of a fresh wave of selling pressure.

With institutions continuing to increase their Bitcoin ETF holdings and large holders accumulating, overall digital asset allocation demand is being supported. While major assets get priority for large capital inflows, small and medium-cap tokens still have opportunities for top-tier valuation premiums in an ample liquidity environment. BR must leverage improved liquidity and confirmed upward market trends to achieve valuation recovery.

Bedrock

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

Bybit-eu

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Bedrock Price: BR Live Price Today | BR Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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BR price today is 0.11, with a live price change of -17.28 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade BR on Bybit-eu.

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