BPX remains in a broad short-term volatility range, with a balanced position between bulls and bears. The current key support level is at $0.19-0.21. Recent upside momentum is constrained by risk-averse capital flowing back to mainstream assets. In the medium to long term, project ecosystem performance and real-world adoption capability will become the core variables driving revaluation. Investors are advised to monitor capital flows and block trades, respond cautiously to heightened short-term volatility, and focus long-term on BPX protocol upgrades and industry-level application progress. Strategically position in projects with clear fundamental improvement logic and await structural opportunities brought by a better credit environment.

Multiple key events in 2025 highlight intense rotations in global financial markets, leading to accelerated risk preference shifts between different asset classes. Signals of fragility continue to emerge in credit markets. Meanwhile, a tug-of-war between bulls and bears in Bitcoin has been repeatedly observed, revealing intensifying investor sentiment games between traditional and crypto assets. Such cross-market dynamics suggest that the crypto sector will remain under pressure, with short-term repeated fluctuations amid large asset class volatility.

At present, with a complete candlestick trend yet to emerge, BPX continues to exhibit wide-range consolidation in the short term. Against the backdrop of rising global bond market and credit risks, risk-averse capital sometimes flows back to stable assets, restraining the collective upside of the crypto sector. Simultaneously, oversold rebounds in the short term also attract bottom-fishing buyers. Overall, BPX is testing key resistance and support levels, characterized by clear market balance. Investors should closely watch block trades and capital flow signals and beware of sudden spikes in volume that may bring directional breakouts amid volatility.

As macro risks gradually clear, projects with real application scenarios and strong ecosystem stickiness will attract more attention. If BPX continues to advance in protocol upgrades, cross-chain interoperability, or industry-level applications, it may attract institutional and conservative investors during the recovery of credit risk appetite, enabling a revaluation. In the long run, the logic for configuring crypto assets will shift from pure speculation to focusing on project ecosystem and infrastructure development. Whether BPX can seize this fundamental opportunity will determine its future trend.

Black Phoenix

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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