STOP is currently consolidating around key moving averages, with shrinking trading volume reflecting market hesitation. Although short-term sentiment recovery may support a minor rebound (range reference: 1.25-1.40), persistent incremental capital inflows are lacking due to US equity volatility and macro liquidity constraints, and no clear unilateral trend has been established. In the medium to long term, unless a clear growth outlook emerges, STOP will continue to face capital diversion and liquidity pressure. It is advised to closely monitor changes in trading volume for short-term operations and avoid blindly chasing prices above 1.40; medium and long-term investors should focus on project fundamentals and community engagement, and strictly control position risks.

From the candlestick chart perspective, STOP has been consolidating near key moving averages over the past few days, with overall trading volume declining slightly, indicating a wait-and-see attitude from both bulls and bears. On-chain indicators show emerging signs of divergent buying interest, suggesting potential for a short-term rebound driven by sentiment recovery. However, due to a lack of sustained volume increase, a unilateral trend is hard to form; it's important to watch whether incremental buying and selling can follow up simultaneously.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

After a sharp rebound, US equities have fallen back into volatility. US private sector job additions in December were below expectations, and investors remain cautious ahead of upcoming nonfarm payroll data, making it difficult for overall risk appetite to recover quickly. In such an environment, STOP, as a high-beta asset, will also face pressures from tight liquidity, and it's difficult for incremental capital to favor the token in the short term. Attention must be paid to downside risks brought about by macro uncertainty.

U.S. stocks stalled after a record rally, with the S&P 500 flat, Nasdaq 100 down 0.2%, and Dow Jones up 0.3%. Market experts say more data is needed to break current highs. December private sector hiring rose modestly by 41,000, below expectations, as investors await Friday's nonfarm payroll report.

The record-breaking rally in U.S. stocks stalls as Wall Street awaits economic data releases.

Looking at cross-market liquidity distribution, short-term crypto prediction market trading volume is relatively sparse, while medium to long-term theme-based funds are more concentrated. This means that in the current environment, unless STOP develops a clear mid-to-long-term growth narrative, it will be difficult to attract large-scale capital deployment. Investors should focus on evaluating whether the project's ongoing ecosystem development and community activities can generate sustained attention to assess the rationality of holding STOP in the medium to long term.

LETSTOP

Federal Reserve staunch dove board member Milan announces resignation

Fed Governor Michael Barr on Thursday pushed back against proposals to shrink the central bank’s balance sheet, describing them as wrong and a threat to financial stability.

Ball: Reducing the balance sheet size or increasing the frequency of Federal Reserve market interventions

The Federal Reserve Board member Barr stated that tapering is a "wrong target," which is contrary to the views of incoming chair Waller.

Federal Reserve's Williams indicates monetary policy is slightly tight, with no reason for rate hikes or cuts.

The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in June is 96.8%, and the probability of keeping them unchanged in July is 93.8%.

Williams: Considering inflation remains persistently above target, the context is crucial.

The Bank of England should raise interest rates to fight off strong inflation spillovers from the Iran energy shock, according to its chief economist who set out his case for active policy in an unpredictable world.

TD Securities: The US dollar may still weaken even if the Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates.

Federal Reserve's Schmied: Inflation remains the biggest risk, but the US economy shows resilience.

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