Affected by macro risk-aversion sentiment and weakened liquidity, XNO is under short-term pressure. While low-end support has been strong, volume has not followed through. Key levels to watch are the effectiveness of the $0.68 support zone and whether the price can hold above $0.70 intraday. If accompanied by an increase in volume, a rebound to the $0.75-$0.77 area may establish a new bullish trend. It is recommended to control positions in stages, closely monitor macro risks and capital flows, and patiently wait for signal confirmation before increasing exposure.

Due to the global spread of risk-aversion sentiment triggered by Japanese long bond sell-offs and the dual decline of US stocks and bonds, digital assets are following US equity futures downward. BTC fell below the $90,000 mark, and overall market risk appetite plummeted. Against this backdrop, XNO rapidly dropped from a high of $0.7319 on January 18 to a low of $0.6817 on January 22, with daily volatility surging and trading volume rising significantly. This reflects a swift retreat of bulls in the face of macro uncertainties. In the short term, market sentiment is highly dependent on volatility in macro interest rates and policy risks.

Global financial markets experienced turmoil starting January 20 due to a sharp sell-off in Japan's long-term bonds, pushing US Treasury yields higher and triggering a "sell America" trade. This led to a plunge in US stocks, bonds, and the dollar, while gold surged to a historic high of $4888/oz amid a global flight to hard assets. Bitcoin fell below $90,000 with significant liquidations, showing short-term divergence, while Ethereum battles to hold $2800 support amid complex technical signals.

Trading Moment: "Sell America" trade ignites gold to a new high of $4888, Bitcoin shows short-term divergence, and Ethereum faces a $2800 defense battle.

On January 21, Trump abruptly reversed his threat of new tariffs on eight European countries and announced a framework agreement on Greenland and the Arctic, triggering a sharp market rebound. Major US indices recovered losses, chip stocks surged, and bond yields slightly fell. However, European skepticism toward US credit persists, with Danish pension funds continuing to divest US debt. Gold saw volatile swings, while the crypto market remained weak, highlighting ongoing geopolitical and fiscal uncertainties.

Hand-drawn candlestick chart? One sentence from Trump reverses the global market

As the futures and options markets for Bitcoin and major tokens are increasingly pricing in downside probability, both institutions and retail investors are reducing leverage. Spot ETFs have seen large net redemptions as the market engages in concentrated de-risking. Although privacy coin contracts have shown contrarian strength amid short covering, overall bullish momentum is weak. No significant opening of long positions or bottom-fishing has been observed in XNO contracts, but increased hedging demand has driven up funding costs, further amplifying price volatility. On January 23, XNO saw a minor rebound to $0.6877, but without a corresponding increase in volume, making it hard to confirm a short-term sentiment reversal.

Bitcoin and the broader crypto market have declined, erasing last week's gains up to $98,000. The sell-off aligns with US stock futures, with Nasdaq 100 futures down over 1.9% and S&P 500 futures down 1.6%. Bitcoin futures open interest remains stable, but DOGE, ZEC, and ADA futures show significant declines, indicating capital outflow. Traders price bearish options on BTC and ETH higher than bullish ones, with a 30% chance of BTC falling below $80,000.

Analysis: Bitcoin failed to break higher, with the derivatives market signaling bearish sentiment and pricing in a deeper pullback risk.

On January 22, The Block reported a significant outflow from US spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, with $708.7 million and $286.9 million withdrawn respectively, marking the largest single-day outflow in nearly two months. Amid heightened macroeconomic uncertainty, institutional investors are reducing risk exposure. Analyst Rachael Lucas noted this is typical "de-risking" behavior in response to adverse conditions like rising interest rates and geopolitical risks, not a structural decline or abandonment of crypto assets.

Analyst: Amid increasing macroeconomic uncertainty, institutional investors are tightening their risk exposure.

Recent short-term activity in privacy coins and the DeFi sector has shifted market preference towards high-risk assets. From January 13 to 17, XNO rebounded from $0.7074, broke through the $0.75 threshold, and once reached a high of $0.7777. The current price has retraced to the $0.68 area, which has provided support multiple times. If it holds here and returns to the $0.75-$0.77 resistance zone, it will help confirm a new uptrend. For medium- and long-term bulls to regain dominance, it is necessary to monitor changes in trading volume and whether the price can consistently stay above the psychological level of $0.70 intraday.

Bitcoin recently broke through a key resistance zone of $94,500–$95,000, reaching nearly $97,963, confirming short-term bullish signals. However, weekly technical indicators still suggest a bearish trend, with the 21-week moving average as a critical pivot point. Strategies include cautious short-term trades around this resistance, with stop-losses to manage risk. The market's ability to sustain above the 21-week MA will determine if a bear-to-bull reversal occurs or if further declines ensue.

Bitcoin Short-Term Bear to Bull Turn: Will History Repeat Itself? | Special Analysis

Due to the US market closure for Martin Luther King Jr. Day, global focus shifted to geopolitical tensions as President Trump announced tariffs on eight European countries to push for Greenland's acquisition, sparking fears of a new trade war. Gold and silver hit record highs, while Bitcoin faced resistance near $98,000, dropping below $92,000 with mixed market sentiment. Ethereum fell below $3,200 amid technical optimism but fundamental weakness. Altcoins broadly declined, though privacy coins and some DeFi projects showed strength. Key upcoming events include US Senate votes on crypto legislation and major token unlocks.

Trading moment: US stock market closed, gold and silver hit new highs, Bitcoin finds support at 92,000.

Nano

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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April has reached 100%.

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Bybit-eu

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Nano Price: XNO Live Price Today | XNO Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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XNO price today is 0.53, with a live price change of 2.50 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade XNO on Bybit-eu.

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