KAS recently confirmed effective support in the $0.033–$0.0325 range, accompanied by simultaneous growth in active addresses and whale holdings, providing solid fundamental backing. Coupled with rising market risk appetite, the token price broke through the key $0.0345 resistance and demonstrated independent strength during periods of major asset volatility, reaching a high of $0.0387. The market is expected to maintain an upward trend above $0.036–$0.037, with focus on the $0.035 support and previous high pressure at $0.040. Strategically, it is recommended to watch for long opportunities on dips, adopt flexible responses to sector rotations, and stay alert to sudden volatility in both the broader market and on-chain events.

At the beginning of May, the price retraced to the key $0.033–$0.0325 zone, forming support alongside the uptrend line and high cumulative trading volume. In this range, on-chain active addresses and whale holdings increased, indicating stable demand. On the chart, several days of heavy buy orders stabilized the price around $0.0328, followed by a rapid rebound to $0.0344. Combined with robust fundamentals such as 2 billion cumulative network transactions and 95 million active addresses, this support area can be seen as the groundwork for renewed bullish action.

Kaspa ($KAS) is approaching a critical support zone where a rising trendline and buyer interest converge, following a recent market structure shift to the upside. The network shows strong fundamentals with 2.05B transactions and 95M active addresses, indicating sustained usage. Whale activity is increasing, suggesting potential for a bullish reversal, though open interest remains flat. The key demand zone will determine if bulls can restart the rally or if more consolidation is needed.

Kaspa nears a critical level – Can KAS bulls restart the rally now?

On May 6, in a global market environment boosted by easing geopolitical tensions and leadership from semiconductor and artificial intelligence sectors, risk appetite increased significantly and Bitcoin briefly broke through the $80,000 mark. KAS also experienced a volume-driven rally, with daily trading volume surging close to 100 million tokens. The price broke through the previous high resistance at $0.0345, peaking at $0.0366 and closing above $0.0365, indicating that bulls quickly recovered lost ground and expanded their gains with the help of overall market enthusiasm.

Global markets surged as geopolitical tensions eased, with major indices hitting record highs and the Korean KOSPI soaring 6.45%. In tech, semiconductor and AI-related stocks rallied strongly. Bitcoin broke $80,000, driven by institutional ETF inflows, though on-chain activity showed low retail participation. Opinions diverge on Bitcoin's outlook, with some seeing a fragile rally and others bullish due to strong accumulation and ETF demand. TON ecosystem also gained momentum after Telegram's increased involvement.

Trading Moment: Global Asset Frenzy, Bitcoin Breaks $80,000, $84,000 CME Gap Awaiting Refill.

Although Bitcoin subsequently experienced a brief pullback below $80,000 due to macro data and renewed geopolitical tensions, KAS consistently retested the $0.035 support from May 7 and promptly rebounded, setting new highs for three consecutive days from May 8 to 10, with the highest close reaching $0.0387. Trading volume remained steadily rising during this process, showing that despite the broader market's brief risk-off sentiment, KAS maintained strong resilience in sector rotation and displayed relative strength exceeding that of major assets.

Bitcoin fell below $80,000 after five consecutive days of net inflows into spot ETFs ended, signaling a cooling rebound from February lows. Stronger-than-expected US April jobs data heightened concerns over energy-driven inflation limiting rate cuts. Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw significant outflows, reflecting reduced institutional risk appetite. Rising US-Iran tensions pushed oil prices up, offsetting some risk asset support. Derivatives suggest prolonged hawkish rate expectations, with retail participation low and market momentum weak, posing a risk of Bitcoin retesting $75,000–$78,000 support.

Analysis: Bitcoin surged then fell back below $80K, with ETF outflows and geopolitical risks jointly suppressing market sentiment.

Recently, the AI and storage sectors have continued their active performance, helping Bitcoin climb back above $82,000. Overall market risk appetite remains high, and ongoing ETF inflows as well as upcoming macro data releases could act as catalysts for the next wave of volatility. In the short term, KAS is likely to maintain an upward consolidation above $0.036–$0.037, but close attention should be paid to the $0.035 support in the event of a larger-than-expected correction and resistance at the previous high of $0.040. Traders are advised to seize opportunities brought about by sector rotation flexibly, while staying alert to potential pullbacks triggered by macro or on-chain events.

Kaspa

British Pound: Growth slowdown and BoE tightening – BNP Paribas

Norwegian Krone: Norges Bank's surprise hike and risk support – HSBC

Eurozone: Higher inflation and ECB hikes projected – BNP Paribas

Brazilian economists raised their interest rate forecast for next year as inflation comes under pressure from resilient domestic demand and an energy shock caused by the Iran war.

Japanese Yen: Intervention and BoJ policy in focus – HSBC

Fed: Extended pause before late 2026 cut – UOB

2024–2026: Asset repricing amid persistently high interest rates

Mitsubishi UFJ: Stalemate in US-Iran negotiations intensifies inflation concerns, causing gold prices to drop.

Koehler: Unless the situation significantly improves, interest rate hikes are inevitable.

The European Central Bank will raise interest rates twice this year as the Iran war drives inflation higher, a Bloomberg survey shows.

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