Recently, NEAR benefited from a rebound in macro risk appetite, surging AI narrative, and ongoing institutional accumulation. The main uptrend successfully broke through the $1.42~$1.45 resistance zone, with short-term trading volume anomalies highlighting the dominance of bullish sentiment. Currently, long-short divergence has intensified; in the short term, watch for support at $1.45 — if it holds, NEAR is likely to oscillate upward within the $1.60~$1.70 range. It is recommended to monitor on-chain whale movements and platform transparency, accumulate quality positions on dips, strictly control capital fluctuations, and patiently await sector rotation and the realization of AI applications to trigger medium- and long-term revaluation.

On May 6, NEAR launched an offensive from around $1.30, with daily trading volume surging to above 7.6 million tokens, peaking at $1.547 and finally closing at $1.49. This upward move drove the price to effectively break through the previously trapped seller resistance at $1.42~$1.45. From a technical perspective, the daily price stood above both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, significantly enhancing bullish momentum, while the short-term RSI also climbed rapidly from the neutral zone. This rally not only benefited from the overall upward movement of the CoinDesk 20 Index, but was also linked to a global rebound in macro risk appetite and Bitcoin ETF inflows, providing strong buying support for NEAR. In the near term, watch for resistance at $1.60~$1.65.

Global markets surged as geopolitical tensions eased, with major indices hitting record highs and the Korean KOSPI soaring 6.45%. In tech, semiconductor and AI-related stocks rallied strongly. Bitcoin broke $80,000, driven by institutional ETF inflows, though on-chain activity showed low retail participation. Opinions diverge on Bitcoin's outlook, with some seeing a fragile rally and others bullish due to strong accumulation and ETF demand. TON ecosystem also gained momentum after Telegram's increased involvement.

Trading Moment: Global Asset Frenzy, Bitcoin Breaks $80,000, $84,000 CME Gap Awaiting Refill.

The CoinDesk 20 index rose 2.5%, driven by a 16% surge in Near Protocol (NEAR) and a 10.4% gain in Internet Computer (ICP), pushing the index higher.

CoinDesk 20 performance update: Index jumps 2.5%, continuing higher

On-chain data from May 8 showed a whale address added over 3.08 million NEAR, reflecting strong bullish sentiment from major market players regarding current valuations. However, rumors about a potential listing on Robinhood triggered front-running trading, exposing underlying information asymmetry risks on the platform, with both NEAR price and trading volume showing clear anomalies ahead of the news. Overall, whale accumulation supports NEAR’s medium- and long-term value proposition, but short-term liquidity mismatches caused by front-running may intensify price volatility. Investors should monitor whale holdings and improvements in platform transparency.

On May 8, the whale address 0x84b3 was reported by Lookonchain to hold long positions in multiple popular tokens, including 3.08 million NEAR (~$4.83M), 75.55 million STRK (~$4.3M), 9,561 XMR (~$3.8M), and 1.28 million TON (~$3.33M), among others. The NEAR and STRK holdings each exceed $4 million in value.

A certain whale is long on multiple popular tokens, holding positions in NEAR and STRK exceeding $4.00M each.

Kaiko's analysis reveals pre-listing trading activity ahead of Robinhood's crypto token announcements, including a wallet opening positions before public disclosures. Patterns across tokens like LIT, ZEC, SNX, and NEAR show price and volume shifts preceding listings, suggesting either privileged access or sophisticated front-running based on public signals. The findings highlight evolving market microstructure and the challenge of distinguishing insider information from informed trading around listings.

Kaiko flags frontrunning risk ahead of Robinhood token listings

Robinhood's planned cryptocurrency listings were involved in a front-running controversy, with rising funding rates and open interest detected before announcements. Several Hyperliquid wallets held directional exposure prior to public news, suggesting possible insider trading. Tokens like Zcash, Synthetix, and Near Protocol showed unusual price volatility, especially Zcash. Hyperliquid's fully transparent on-chain order book made the suspicious trading activity visible, raising fairness concerns but also enabling market audits.

Robinhood listings spark major Hyperliquid insider trading controversy: Details

On May 7, the price experienced a minor dip, falling from $1.49 back to around $1.47, testing the short-term support zone at $1.46~$1.45. Subsequently, significant short positions against NEAR emerged on-chain on May 9, with the value of short accounts’ holdings nearing $48 million, indicating that some market participants chose to take profits or hedge risks at higher levels. From a moving average perspective, short-term MAs show signs of turning downward, but long-term MAs remain bullishly aligned. The pullback may present a good opportunity to buy on weakness, and the effectiveness of the $1.45 support is worth monitoring.

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) dropped 1.2%, leading the CoinDesk 20 index lower. Near Protocol (NEAR) also underperformed, declining 1% from Wednesday.

CoinDesk 20 performance update: Bitcoin Cash (BCH) drops 1.2%, leading index lower

On May 9, an on-chain analyst reported that a trader shorting 28 altcoins and crude oil has amassed cumulative profits of $86.36 million. Currently, the trader holds 29 short positions valued at $47.66 million, with unrealized losses totaling $4.06 million. The trader's assets include ZEC, TON, NEAR, and LIT, and the account remained in overall unrealized profit until May 4.

Copycat short whale cumulative profit: $86.36 million; currently, 29 short positions are at a floating loss of $4.06 million

The global AI wave continues to intensify, and as a key ecological infrastructure project, NEAR is receiving high attention from both institutions and investors. Well-known analysts have repeatedly expressed optimistic views, driving prices to once spike to $1.65 on May 12 and enter consolidation in this range. From a medium- and long-term value perspective, the ongoing implementation of AI-related applications and expected macro easing will support NEAR’s fundamentals. If market sentiment continues to shift toward technology and innovation, the token is expected to stabilize in the $1.60~$1.70 zone and gradually challenge $1.80.

The global AI boom is driving a massive economic shift, with trillions invested in AI chips, data centers, and infrastructure, competing directly with crypto for capital and investor focus. While institutional money is rotating toward AI equities and startups, AI-related crypto coins like Bittensor, NEAR Protocol, Internet Computer, Render, and Artificial Superintelligence Alliance are poised to benefit and potentially rally amid this rising demand.

AI Race Heats Up — Will AI-Related Coin Rally?

Arthur Hayes stated that the current cryptocurrency bull market began after the U.S. military action against Iran on February 28. He is optimistic that increased AI investment, energy and infrastructure spending, and eased financial conditions by the Federal Reserve and China's central bank will expand USD and RMB credit, benefiting Bitcoin and crypto assets. Hayes predicts Bitcoin's return to $126,000 is nearly certain and highlights tokens like Hyperliquid, Zcash, and NEAR.

Arthur Hayes: The Bitcoin bull market started on February 28 after the Iranian conflict. I am optimistic about liquidity driving the crypto market upward.

NEAR Protocol

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Schmidt: Persistent inflation is the most urgent risk facing the economy.

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Here’s why the crypto market is going down today (May 14)

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Market Analysis: Gold prices edged higher but remained pressured by inflation concerns

Mitsubishi UFJ: US inflation data exceeds expectations, yen weakens as dollar strengthens

Why is Kevin Walsh the "chosen one" for the Federal Reserve Chair? The next six months of policy are crucial.

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