The current WALLET benefits from the short-term recovery in crypto market sentiment and capital inflows, with increased attention to emerging projects and momentum for a phase rebound. Trading opportunities are suggested in the 0.85-1.10 range. However, on-chain indicators and macro liquidity show the market has not yet entered a long-term upward cycle, so investors are advised to focus on swing trading, strictly control their positions, and be alert to the risk of high-level pullbacks. In the medium and long term, focus should be placed on project compliance processes and core technical capabilities. Leveraging compliance and infrastructure upgrades, WALLET has potential to expand institutional users and market share. Strategically, dynamically adjust position ratios: capture short-term rotation bonuses and focus on long-term value growth, with risk control as a core principle.

Recently, multiple on-chain and secondary market indicators show the crypto market may have bottomed and is rebounding. Leading on-chain analytics platforms have captured early signs of trend improvement, though more data validation is needed, short-term rebound signals have emerged. Meanwhile, both Bitcoin and Ethereum recorded gains over 4%, driving overall market cap higher. Although fear sentiment has not been fully dispelled, small and mid-cap assets and Memecoins have outperformed blue chips, providing phase-specific support for niche projects such as WALLET in terms of short-term sentiment.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Gate Ventures reports a rebound in the cryptocurrency market with BTC and ETH rising 4.13% and 6.61%, respectively, boosting total crypto market cap by 4.82%. ETF inflows improved, reversing two weeks of outflows, with BTC and ETH ETFs gaining approximately $459 million and $161 million. Despite price gains, market sentiment remains in "extreme fear." Mid- and small-cap assets outperformed, led by Memecoins. Ecosystem growth is driven by Ethereum scaling, institutional tokenized finance, and demand for compliant decentralized AI infrastructure. Four funding events raised about $17 million, mainly for data and infrastructure, signaling ongoing long-term development amid cautious short-term sentiment.

Gate Ventures: The cryptocurrency market rebounds, ETF fund inflows signal improvements in market structure.

In terms of capital flows, ETFs related to Bitcoin and Ethereum have seen significant net inflows after ending two consecutive weeks of net outflows, indicating a renewed willingness of institutions for regular investment. At the same time, the Asia-Pacific market continues to strengthen, driving regional trading activity up. In the options market, both bulls and bears have intensified bets on future volatility, with expectations for short-term upward movement accumulating. The dual engine of capital flows and sentiment is helping emerging projects like WALLET attract more attention in sector rotation.

QCP's market analysis on January 5 highlights a strengthening crypto market in Asia, with Bitcoin and Ethereum surpassing $92,000 and $3,100 respectively, driven by US actions in Venezuela, year-end tax-loss trading, and rising crypto legislation expectations. Speculation about Venezuela holding significant "shadow Bitcoin reserves" and using USDT in oil trades could make it a major sovereign BTC holder. Options data show a bullish shift, with increased call options and straddle strategies indicating short covering and bets on upward volatility.

QCP: Venezuela Situation and Options Funding Resonance Strengthen Bullish Expectations in the Crypto Market

Although there is short-term rebound momentum, on-chain trading volumes and network fee levels indicate the macro cycle has not yet bottomed or turned upward, and the long-term trend remains weak. Leading analysts point out that liquidity improvements can bring a phased rebound after testing the bottom, but the overall cautious macro environment is unchanged. For WALLET, attention should be paid to short-term swing opportunities while maintaining prudent assessment of long-term holding costs and project intrinsic value.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

With regulatory policies gradually clarifying, demand for institutional tokenized finance and compliant infrastructure continues to grow. As the entry point for on-chain assets, wallet projects' technical security and compliance attributes are primary concerns for institutional and high-net-worth users. Against the backdrop of Ethereum scaling, decentralized AI, and accelerated compliance infrastructure, WALLET projects with established compliance pathways and robust technical support are likely to gain additional market share in the medium to long term.

Ambire Wallet

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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