Affected by the central bank's high interest rates and the market's cautious risk appetite, Token B's price formed a stage bottom at 0.10. The short-term rebound mainly benefited from sentiment recovery and capital inflow, driving the price to break through above 0.13. However, the derivatives market is experiencing intensified long-short battles, with dense positions and high shorting costs. The 0.12 level is currently a key support. If risk-aversion sentiment heats up, sharp short-term volatility may ensue. It is recommended to pay attention to trading opportunities within this range, operate with quick in/out trades in the short term, and prioritize risk aversion.

As major central banks collectively choose to maintain their policy rates, expectations for a significant short-term liquidity improvement remain subdued. Following a sharp decline in mid-April, Token B established a stage bottom around 0.10, indicating that risk appetite has not fully recovered. Against the backdrop of persistently high interest rates, capital allocation to high-risk assets remains cautious, implying that Token B may still face some downward pressure in the short term.

Danske Bank analyst Asger Wilhelm Dalsjo highlights that with the Middle East conflict entering its ninth week, central banks will assess its current and future economic impacts. This week, the Bank of Japan, Bank of Canada, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and European Central Bank will hold policy meetings. While all are expected to keep interest rates unchanged, their evaluations of the conflict's economic effects will be closely watched, making monetary policy decisions the main market driver.

Analyst: Interest rate decision will be the main market driver, focus on the impact of Middle East conflict.

Recently, the overall sentiment in the crypto market has been steadily recovering, with multiple technical signals indicating a solidifying bottom. Alongside rallies in Bitcoin and Ethereum and sustained ETF capital inflows, the market's fear and greed index rebounded from the fear region back to neutral. This provided support for increased contract activity and trading volume in Token B. Starting from April 25, Token B saw a breakout with rising volumes, with the price swiftly climbing from 0.10 to above 0.13, highlighting the positive impact of sentiment and capital flows.

ChainCatcher reports that Bitcoin short-term holders' discount has narrowed from -21.6% to -5.7%, with the STH-SOPR 7-day average rising above 1, indicating short-term sellers are no longer clearly at a loss. However, the current price remains below the $83,000 cost basis, suggesting the market has not yet entered a true risk-on phase.

Data: Analysis: Short-term Bitcoin holders' discount narrows, market warms up but risk appetite has not yet started.

BIT Research indicates multiple signals are simultaneously strengthening, suggesting that Bitcoin's recovery rally may have begun. From technical convergence to capital restoration, the market is gradually confirming a trend reversal.

BIT Research: Multiple Signals Strengthen Simultaneously, Has the Bitcoin Recovery Rally Already Started?

Bitcoin rose 2% to $7,910 and Ethereum 3% to $2,388 amid easing geopolitical tensions, boosting Asian markets with Japan's Nikkei 225 and South Korea's Kospi hitting record highs. The US spot Bitcoin ETF saw $823.7 million net inflows for the fourth consecutive week. The crypto fear and greed index improved from 29 (fear) to 47 (neutral). Analyst Dominick John attributes gains to ETF inflows, technical breakthroughs, and reduced risk aversion.

Analyst: Both the crypto market and Asian stock markets rise amid easing geopolitical tensions.

During the market's mild rebound, shorting costs surged and short interest rates approached historical highs, highlighting aggressive positioning on both the long and short sides. Meanwhile, the accumulation of large block positions also exacerbates potential short-term volatility risks. Should risk-off sentiment suddenly reverse, Token B could face a rapid short squeeze or a long liquidation, causing sharp price swings around the key support level of 0.12.

Hassett says Powell’s reappointment could delay Fed rate cuts, with crypto watching closely

U.S. PCE Inflation Rises to 3-Year High, Bitcoin Slides

US Treasury yields spike to highest levels in a year, adding a new problem for Bitcoin liquidity.

European Central Bank policymakers are likely to raise interest rates at their next meeting in June unless there are positive developments on energy prices and ending the Iran war.

The European Central Bank's inclination to raise interest rates has strengthened, with Lagarde emphasizing increased risks.

European Central Bank officials stated that if energy prices do not ease, interest rates will be raised in June.

Hassett: It's time for Powell to leave the Federal Reserve.

Here’s why the crypto market is falling today

Lagarde speech: Interest rates best tool we can use

The Fed’s PCE Data Used to Measure Inflation Has Been Released! Here’s Bitcoin’s (BTC) Initial Reaction!

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