DEGEN is currently in a weak, volatile pattern, resonating from capital outflows and regulatory uncertainty. Since the peak on April 17th, trading volume has continued to shrink and moving averages have formed a death cross, reflecting weakening bullish momentum and dominance of bearish sell pressure. Additionally, rotation among hot tokens is squeezing liquidity, with short-term funds clearly favoring highly elastic assets. DEGEN has not seen effective breakout with increased volume in the 0.00065-0.00071 sideways range, and buying sentiment remains cautious. It is advised to patiently wait for negative macro and regulatory factors to clear and for clear signs of capital returning; avoid actively increasing positions in the short term. Focus on effective volume breakout and rhythm of mainstream hot rotations within the sideways range.

Over the past week, tight oil supply-demand and evolving policy directions have continued to attract capital attention, weighing on overall risk appetite. Uncertainties in regulatory legislation progress are further intensifying the market’s wait-and-see atmosphere. Technically, DEGEN reached a peak of 0.0008231 on April 17th, then experienced a long upper shadow and pullback. Trading volume gradually contracted below daily averages, and the daily chart saw consecutive small-medium bearish candles in a 'low-volume consolidation' pattern. The moving average system shows signs of a death cross, indicating insufficient short-term bullish momentum and dominance of bearish selling pressure. The market needs to wait for external environments to clarify before short-term buying interest can be reignited.

The Weekly Editor's Picks (0418-0424) highlights key insights from fast-moving news, covering macroeconomic trends like the looming physical oil supply shortage despite the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, investment and crypto market analyses including user geography and token strategies, and policy updates such as the uncertain passage of the CLARITY Act. It also addresses DeFi challenges, security incidents, and notable industry developments, offering a curated filter to retain valuable perspectives amid information overload.

Weekly Editor's Picks (0418-0424)

ChainCatcher data shows that recent trading activity is highly concentrated on a few surging tokens, creating capital chasing effects with returns exceeding 100,000 times, exposing mainstream small-cap assets to significant capital outflows. Although DEGEN has a certain community base, after the large-volume shakeout on April 23rd, the price has continued sideways in the 0.00065~0.00071 range without effective volume breakout, indicating buying power has not returned to the market. Given that short-term funds currently prefer highly volatile assets, DEGEN may continue its fluctuating pattern under pressure from hot token rotation, with a prevailing cautious and wait-and-see mood.

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The market is focused on the Federal Reserve's assessment of rising inflation and its policy path.

Reminder: Please pay close attention to the following (all times are in Beijing time).

Australia’s inflation remained above the Reserve Bank’s 2-3% target band as higher fuel costs from Middle East supply disruptions compounded already-elevated price pressures to keep policymakers on a tightening path.

Uncertainty around the economic outlook and a leadership transition at the US central bank loom large over this week’s meeting of Federal Reserve officials, who are expected to leave interest rates unchanged on Wednesday.

Economists: The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged, waiting for changes in employment and inflation.

Mexico’s central bank will consider one more interest rate cut at its May meeting that may bring an end to the easing cycle it started two years ago, Governor Victoria Rodriguez Ceja said.

The Fed is set to hold rates in what’s likely Powell’s last meeting as chair - then it’ll be Kevin Warsh’s turn in what has become a political hotseat under Donald Trump

UAE Quits OPEC After 59 Years, BTC Slides Below $76K Amid Hormuz Supply Shock

Iran launches airstrikes on US bases in Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar

Ukrainian drone attack ignites Tuapse oil refinery, escalating energy strikes

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