Driven by improved liquidity and a rebound in trading demand in the short term, EUSD is expected to experience a mild rebound, with its price likely to fluctuate within the current range (±1%). However, given the limited influx of new funds in the medium to long term and the unchanged market game structure, persistent expansion of capital is necessary; otherwise, there remains downward trend pressure. For short-term strategies, it is advised to monitor signs of capital return and strictly control risk exposure; in the medium to long term, attention should be paid to the risk of systemic sell-off triggered by liquidity withdrawal or large-scale redemption.

Currently, the overall crypto market has returned to a phase of internal competition, with short-term price fluctuations mainly driven by endogenous capital flows and changes in liquidity. During this stage, traders focus more on cross-asset allocation and the efficiency of stablecoin usage, resulting in cyclical fluctuations in the demand for EUSD as a trading and settlement medium.

The USDC/USDT premium index turning positive indicates that the supply-demand tension for stablecoins has eased, and overall selling pressure has been released. Against the backdrop of this liquidity improvement, as an alternative stablecoin, EUSD holders' confidence may increase; this could lead to sizable capital inflows in the short term, supporting the price to remain stable or rise modestly.

Although short-term liquidity factors are turning positive, market sentiment remains relatively cautious in the medium to long term. As trend-following funds gradually shift to the sidelines, if EUSD fails to continuously attract new incremental capital, it could be pressured by the overall market downtrend, facing risks of large-scale redemption and sell-off.

eUSD

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The European Central Bank's inclination to raise interest rates has strengthened, with Lagarde emphasizing increased risks.

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