HYP has recently shown signs of bullish recovery, with marginal improvement in market trading volume and sentiment indicators, though the stability of the trend remains in question. Major whale positions at high levels have not significantly reduced holdings, indicating confidence in bottom support, yet they are bearing heavy funding rate pressure. If the price falls below the critical $26.0 support, the risk of exit increases. Investors are advised to control position size, closely monitor volume and funding rate changes, and maintain a defensive stance in the short term. Unless HYP decisively stands above $28.0, the sustainability of further rallies is limited.

Recently, overall crypto market indicators have shown marginal signs of improvement, with trading volume and investor sentiment both on the rise. However, a clear signal of sustained upward movement has yet to form. While some technical indicators indicate an initial reversal, more data is needed to confirm trend stability. Investors should maintain a defensive approach, paying attention to the correlation between subsequent trading volume and volatility.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Since January 2nd, HYP has risen more than 13%, reaching a high of $27.4, indicating strong short-term buying pressure. Meanwhile, the largest on-chain long position holder, whose average entry price is as high as $38.6 and is facing significant unrealized losses, has managed to shrink losses from $20 million to $17 million as the price bounced back, reflecting their resilience and confidence in bottom support. This participant accumulated a large position even before Robinhood’s listing announcement, fueling concerns about potential information asymmetry and heightening short-term sentiment volatility.

Since January 2, HYPE has gained over 13%, reaching a high of $27.4. The largest long whale on-chain, holding about $36.44 million with an average price of $38.6 and liquidation price at $20, has reduced its unrealized loss from $20 million to $17 million. This whale, the biggest long holder on Hyperliquid, opened a large position before Robinhood announced HYPE spot trading, leading to community suspicion of insider information.

HYPE has recently seen a significant increase, but the largest on-chain HYPE long position is still stuck with an unrealized loss of 17 million due to an average cost of $38.

This whale has paid over $1 million in perpetual contract funding fees over the past two months, resulting in increasing position cost pressure. High funding costs weaken their willingness to hold, and a price drop below key support could trigger an accelerated exit. Given the current short-term rally characteristics, investors should be cautious about short-term pullback risks and monitor funding rate changes limiting the sustainability of price increases.

Since January 2, HYPE has gained over 13%, reaching a high of $27.4. The largest long whale on-chain, holding about $36.44 million with an average price of $38.6, still faces a $17 million unrealized loss, down from $20 million. This whale, suspected of insider trading before HYPE's Robinhood listing, has incurred over $1 million in funding fee losses over two months.

HyperX

UBS: Still expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points later this year.

China expected to keep benchmark lending rates steady after strong GDP data

The European Central Bank will raise interest rates in June as the Iran war drives inflation higher this year, a Bloomberg survey showed.

Important news from last night and this morning (April 16 - April 17).

Bank of Japan Governor: We need to simultaneously address rising energy prices and economic downturn risks; policy-making is very difficult at this stage.

BOJ chief avoids hints of April rate hike, shattering hawkish market bets

ECB policymakers play down April rate hike chances

Declining energy prices have moved the euro-zone economy back toward the European Central Bank’s base case and may mean interest-rate increases aren’t needed, according to Governing Council member Primoz Dolenc.

Fed’s John Williams Signals Support for Holding Rates Steady Ahead of FOMC Meeting

Israeli envoy warns of reaction if threatened, straining Israel-Iran relations

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