Driven by the recent recovery in risk appetite and improved market sentiment, IOST has seen both price and volume rise, with a clear upward short-term trend. The 0.00108–0.00110 USDT range serves as key support; if held, the bullish setup is likely to continue. A breakout above 0.00124 USDT could open the way to 0.00130 USDT. Beware of macro liquidity fluctuations and risk spillovers from corrections in major coins. A break below 0.00108 USDT would signal a shift to range-bound trading. In the short term, it is advised to monitor the validity of support and shifts in overall market heat, adjusting positions accordingly.

This week, risk assets posted a broad rebound, starting with easing geopolitical tensions and divided views from the Federal Reserve, which shifted market sentiment to a more positive tone. As global risk aversion cooled, Bitcoin was the first to break out, prompting bullish sentiment to quickly spread to the altcoin sector. On April 15, IOST posted a substantial rally, with daily trading volume surging more than eightfold and the price briefly spiking to 0.0012439 USDT, staging a gap-up move that highlighted intense short covering and new capital influx. This rally not only validated the transmission of improved risk appetite but also laid the groundwork for a new short- to mid-term trend for IOST.

Bitcoin surged past $72,000, rising about 3% to approximately $72,300, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly initiated talks with Lebanon, supported by Trump's call for reduced Israeli military actions to maintain a ceasefire. Bitcoin's 24-hour gain of around 2% outpaced other major cryptocurrencies and coincided with a rebound in U.S. stocks and a drop in oil prices. Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from tech stocks, influenced more by geopolitical and risk-averse factors.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through $72,000, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost market sentiment.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

On the daily chart, IOST has bottomed out near 0.00106 USDT and begun an upward move, posting three consecutive medium-to-large bullish candles and establishing a short-term ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows. In terms of volume-price action, while the trading volume declined slightly on the second day after the breakout, it remained at a relatively high level, indicating limited profit-taking and no damage to the bullish trend. The 0.00108–0.00110 USDT zone serves as short-term support; a break below this range would signal a shift to sideways movement. Initial resistance stands at the 0.00124 USDT high, and a breakthrough here could see a challenge of the round number of 0.00130 USDT.

Although bulls and bears have been actively trading recently, the market still faces potential risks such as macro liquidity peaking and major support levels in Bitcoin coming under pressure. If major cryptocurrencies fail to hold around $74,000, a round of short-term pullbacks could occur. Should IOST fall in tandem and lose the 0.00108 USDT support, a further test of 0.00106 USDT is possible. On the other hand, if Bitcoin finds sustained buying support, it could provide IOST with fresh upward momentum. It is therefore recommended to closely monitor global liquidity trends as well as move correlations with major cryptocurrencies.

IOST

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Trump: US-Iran talks progress as Iran suspends nuclear program

Trump warns of bombing if no Iran deal by April 21 ceasefire expiration

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

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