Recently, JFIN has been steadily oscillating near key support levels. Marginal improvements in on-chain capital and liquidity have heightened expectations for a January rebound, with short-term resistance focused on the 2.15–2.25 range. Actual selling pressure from bears is easing, while bullish sentiment for speculative participation is rising. However, a substantial increase in trading volume and momentum is still needed to confirm a reversal. In the medium to long term, macro trading volume and market activity remain at low levels, indicating the market is still in a cycle adjustment period. It is recommended to seize phase-based rebounds with light positions in line with the trend, and strictly manage downside risk.

Recently, several on-chain data and market sentiment indicators have shown improvement, suggesting the weak consolidation phase may be ending. JFIN's price is fluctuating above key support, with limited short-term downside risk. However, these signals are still in the early stage, and further confirmation from trading volume and momentum is needed to validate a trend reversal.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Since January, the capital environment has warmed up and on-chain liquidity has steadily increased, providing strong support for a bottom rebound. If trading volume expands concurrently, JFIN could experience a phase-based technical bounce, with special attention to short-term resistance near previous highs.

Currently, bears are facing early position-closing pressure, and delayed stop-losses may amplify losses. Market pessimism is largely confined to rhetoric, with actual selling pressure potentially diminishing. Bulls are expected to take advantage of this to push prices higher in the short term.

JackYi, founder of Liquid Capital, tweeted that before the big bull market in 2026, short sellers who close positions early will suffer small losses, while those who close later will face heavy losses. He noted that current market pessimists are either just talk or destined to fail. After over a month of market fluctuations, the bulls will prevail, with pessimists always being right but optimists always moving forward.

JackYi: The shorts closed early with a small loss, but closing later will result in a big loss.

From the perspective of macro capital flows and fee structure, long-term trading volume and overall market activity have yet to emerge from their downward trend, and the macro cycle remains in an adjustment phase. Investors should manage position size prudently and guard against drawdown risk following rebounds.

JFIN Coin

BOJ Holds Rates at 0.75% as Nikkei and Crypto Markets Slip

Fed Interest Rate Tomorrow: What to Expect, Will It Be Powell’s Last Speech

The Bank of Japan left its rate unchanged in a split vote that increased the likelihood of a hike in June. But the weak yen saw only a brief respite as Governor Kazuo Ueda cast doubt on the economy’s outlook.

Institution: Bank of Japan's "policy reaction function" has changed, yen movement becomes key to rate hikes.

Kazuo Ueda: Interest rate hike decisions and quantitative tightening adjustments will be conducted separately.

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Fitch: Inflation is deeply entrenched; expects the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates by 75 basis points to 1.5% this year

Three Bank of Japan members call for a rate hike; yen rises while bitcoin falls

Fed Turning Point: Reshaping the Interest Rate Decision-Making Framework Amidst Personnel Turmoil

Dalio: The U.S. economy has fallen into stagflation, and cutting interest rates would be a policy mistake.

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