LIQUID currently benefits from improved market sentiment and a return of on-chain capital, with short-term sentiment and holding confidence rising concurrently. Trading volume and volatility are expected to expand in phases. The founder’s views are intensifying bullish expectations, strengthening willingness to buy, which may drive a short squeeze. However, caution is advised regarding the trend of DEX market polarization, which challenges LIQUID’s ecosystem share, and insufficient liquidity in short-term contracts could further exacerbate price swings. It is recommended to add positions opportunistically during pullback intervals (reference range: -6% to -12%), set strict stop-losses (suggested stop-loss at 20% below critical support), and dynamically monitor ecosystem updates and market share changes to adjust positions flexibly in response to volatility.

Recent on-chain and market data indicate a warming trend in the crypto market, with multiple short-term indicators and capital flows turning positive, signaling a shift from bear to bull market sentiment. At this crucial juncture, LIQUID token, as the sector leader, is likely to receive support from sentiment indicators and holding cost metrics. Participants' confidence is rising in the short term, leading to increases in both trading volume and volatility.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

The founder repeatedly emphasizes that trend investing surpasses short-term speculation, asserting that the current scale of bearish bets is about to trigger a short squeeze. This viewpoint reinforces optimistic market expectations and stimulates a new wave of capital allocation. For LIQUID tokens, this resonance from both top-level and retail investors boosts short-term buying interest and helps build a strong distribution of holdings, maintaining momentum in subsequent upswings.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua reflects on a decade in crypto, emphasizing the importance of trend investing and ignoring short-term fluctuations. He notes that bears are making a last effort, betting on a four-year cycle, US AI bubble, and liquidity decline, but these have failed. Their short positions will fuel the upcoming rally. Yi urges focus on investment research and respecting professional analysts, with Liquid Capital committed to learning and progress.

Yi Lihua: The bears are still making their final efforts, which will become the fuel for the upward movement.

JackYi, founder of Liquid Capital, tweeted that before the big bull market in 2026, short sellers who close positions early will suffer small losses, while those who close later will face heavy losses. He noted that current market pessimists are either just talk or destined to fail. After over a month of market fluctuations, the bulls will prevail, with pessimists always being right but optimists always moving forward.

JackYi: The shorts closed early with a small loss, but closing later will result in a big loss.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua reflects on a decade in crypto, emphasizing the importance of improving investment and trading understanding, focusing on trend investing, and ignoring short-term fluctuations. He notes that bears are making a last effort, betting on factors like the four-year cycle and liquidity decline, but these bets are failing and will fuel a short squeeze during the market rise. He urges focus on professional research and continuous learning.

Yi Lihua: Bears are making their final efforts, which will become fuel for the upward movement.

The perpetual contract DEX market share is noticeably fragmenting, with emerging platforms rapidly catching up in technology and incentive strategies, pressing the original leaders’ market share below 30%. This signals that the industry is moving into a multiplayer competitive landscape. To maintain or expand its share, the LIQUID ecosystem must quickly iterate core products and optimize incentive mechanisms, or it may become passive in the next stage of technological and capital rivalry.

At the beginning of the year, Hyperliquid dominated the Perp DEX market with over 70% share. However, in the second half, emerging Perp DEXs like Aster, Lighter, and EdgeX gained traction, reducing Hyperliquid's market share to around 20%. The market has now entered a new phase characterized by competition in technology, capital, incentives, and real demand.

Hotcoin Research | Review of Leading Perp DEXs: Cold Reflections Amid Data Frenzy and Outlook for 2026

Market data shows that short-term contract liquidity remains depressed, with high concentration of trades and susceptibility to localized surges driven by large players. For LIQUID tokens, intensified short-term volume fluctuations may trigger rapid ups and downs. Participants should pay attention to depth and order book distribution, be wary of high-frequency volatility risks, and synchronize entry and profit-taking strategies with both capital flows and sentiment indicators.

liquid

If the White House uses dollar swap lines to bail out favored allies or attaches geopolitical strings to the loans, it will damage a backstop that has headed off disaster in the last two global crises, says @csmart (via @opinion)

The ECB’s rate decision this week provides more time to assess whether the Middle East crisis triggers prolonged inflation, Martin Kocher says.

Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH risks decline as inflation rises

The ECB will need to increase interest rates in June if there isn’t a significant change in the outlook, says Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel

ECB Increasingly Likely to Hike in Near Future, Muller Says

Standard Chartered Bank predicts the European Central Bank will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in June.

SoSo Macro | US Q1 GDP Misses Expectations; March PCE Hits Three-Year High

Tokyo’s key inflation gauge unexpectedly slowed and remained below the Bank of Japan’s target, supporting policymakers’ cautious approach toward resuming interest-rate hikes.

Wall Street Breakfast | May 1, 2026

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 95%, and in July it is 87.9%.

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