LOOK's short-term is driven by recovering liquidity, and key support levels have shown signs of a bottom rebound. It is expected to recover to the previous resistance zone. However, trading volume and fees remain sluggish, and the macro downward structure persists, raising doubts about the sustainability of the rebound. As a strategy, it is advised to participate only in short-term rebounds, focus on resistance in the 1.05-1.20 range, strictly execute take-profit and stop-loss, maintain a defensive stance in the medium and long term, and be cautious of continued weakness after the rebound.

Recently, market liquidity has improved, boosting investor buying sentiment. Relevant data shows that as funding conditions improve, prices have demonstrated clear signs of stabilization after consecutive corrections, forming technical signals of a bottom rebound. Buying interest during this stage is mainly concentrated around key support levels, short-term bullish sentiment is being restored, and a technical rebound may be underway.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

Despite stronger short-term rebound signals, overall trading volume and fee levels remain relatively weak, failing to generate sustained turnover. Capital consumption and fee rate indicators are still at low levels, indicating insufficient bullish momentum. At the macro cycle level, the market remains in a downward structure, and caution is needed for a possible continuation of bearish trends after the rebound.

In the current volatile environment, strictly adhering to trend investment principles is crucial. Investors should enter positions after confirming the trend, avoiding attempts to catch the bottom or top at extreme points. Proper take-profit and stop-loss settings, along with attention to market sentiment and funding changes, are essential to ensure investment decisions align with overall market rhythm.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

LOOK

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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