MCDX is exhibiting a significant range-bound consolidation at higher levels, recently constrained within the 310–316 zone. The 318 level acts as key resistance, while 308 forms strong support. The falling trading volume indicates a rising cautious sentiment among investors. Benefiting from the Ethereum bullish MACD crossover and potential liquidity improvement, medium-term bullish signals are gradually building up. Strategically, it is advised to consider entering long positions within the 308–310 zone, with a stop-loss at 305. If this level fails, turn to a wait-and-see approach. Should price break out above 316 on high volume, consider following the trend and adding to long positions, targeting levels above 320. Overall, operate with the trend and closely monitor both trading volume and macro fund flows.

After Bitcoin broke through the $75,000 mark, the negative Gamma effect in the derivative market intensified, driving a short-term increase in volatility. At the same time, funding rates on mainstream exchanges and decentralized platforms have continued to fall, reflecting a deepening pessimistic sentiment in the overall market. Although inflows into spot ETFs have boosted bullish confidence, the tug-of-war between bulls and bears remains fierce, keeping short-term risk appetite cautious. Against this backdrop, MCDX is tracking the overall market, oscillating at high levels, making it difficult to establish a clear trend, with short-term pressure being evident.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

On April 17, Coinglass data showed that as Bitcoin maintained a volatile trend, the funding rates on major CEX and DEX platforms indicated a deepening bearish sentiment in the market. Funding rates, used to balance perpetual contract prices with underlying asset prices, reflect trader sentiment: rates above 0.01% signal bullishness, while rates below 0.005% indicate bearishness. Current rates suggest increased market pessimism.

The current mainstream CEX and DEX funding rates indicate a deepening bearish sentiment in the market.

Bitcoin recently surpassed $75,000 for the first time in 73 days, facing resistance near $78,000 with $74,000 seen as a critical support level for further gains. Market views diverge: bears cite weak macro liquidity and reliance on short-covering, while bulls highlight strong whale accumulation and potential breakthroughs above key moving averages. The broader market shows mixed signals amid geopolitical developments and fluctuating investor sentiment.

Trading moment: BTC encountered resistance at 78K, and it needs to hold 74K to aim for a breakthrough.

Ethereum's weekly MACD has produced a bullish crossover. In each of the past three occurrences of this signal, a significant price rebound followed, suggesting that market momentum may be gradually strengthening. If macro liquidity conditions and investor risk appetite improve simultaneously, this momentum may spill over into the broader crypto asset sector, boosting the medium-term performance of major derivative assets including MCDX. Investors should monitor subsequent trading volume and price reactions to key moving averages to confirm the continuation and strength of this momentum.

Analyst Alicharts noted that Ethereum's weekly MACD is forming a golden cross. In the last three instances, this signal preceded ETH price increases of 130%, 74%, and 98%. While the MACD golden cross often indicates strengthening momentum, past performance does not guarantee future results, and analysis should consider the macro environment and overall market sentiment.

Viewpoint: Ethereum's weekly MACD is forming a golden cross, with the last three occurrences indicating at least a 74% increase.

Daily charts show MCDX has exhibited a clear high-level range consolidation since surging in early April, with the 310 to 316 zone defining the current short-term trading range. Strong support is established near 308, as repeated pullbacks have attracted buying interest each time. Resistance is focused between 316–318, and a convincing breakout has yet to be seen. Trading volume has declined below average from its April 3 peak, indicating heightened wait-and-see sentiment at present. It is advisable to consider long entries within the 308–310 support zone, with stop-losses set near 305. If a breakout above 315–316 on increased volume occurs, trend-following entries and a target near 320 are recommended.

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