MOVE's short-term technicals found support around the $0.017 area, accompanied by a rebound with increased volume, mainly driven by BTC breaking through $72,000 and improving market risk appetite. However, if BTC fails to break through the critical $75,000 negative Gamma zone, MOVE's short-term rebound may be limited, with heightened volatility and pullback risks to watch out for. In the medium to long term, MOVE's upside potential depends on the trajectory of Federal Reserve monetary policy and innovative project fundamentals. It is advisable to adjust positions dynamically based on market liquidity and ecosystem developments, seizing short-term volatility opportunities while also focusing on the cost-effectiveness of long-term allocation.

MOVE continuously declined from its local high of approximately $0.021 in late March, showing signs of bottoming out after hitting a low of $0.01697 on April 12. Subsequently, it rebounded sharply for two consecutive days on April 16–17, with trading volumes rising to 257,000 and 346,000 units, and turnover rates increasing notably, indicating organized buying and effective support. The short-term technicals stabilized from the oversold zone with a rebound accompanied by increased volume, reflecting improved market sentiment, though attention should be paid to the lingering central pressure from previous declines.

Tensions in the Middle East eased, and after a simultaneous pullback in U.S. equities and oil prices, BTC was the first to break through the $72,000 mark, lifting overall digital asset risk appetite. As the central asset of market volatility, BTC's additional 2%-3% increase not only boosted major coins but also heightened risk demand for exchange tokens like MOVE, which can be viewed as a short-term sentiment-driven positive.

Bitcoin surged past $72,000, rising about 3% to approximately $72,300, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly initiated talks with Lebanon, supported by Trump's call for reduced Israeli military actions to maintain a ceasefire. Bitcoin's 24-hour gain of around 2% outpaced other major cryptocurrencies and coincided with a rebound in U.S. stocks and a drop in oil prices. Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from tech stocks, influenced more by geopolitical and risk-averse factors.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through $72,000, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost market sentiment.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

BTC has recently approached its 100-day moving average at the $75,000 'negative Gamma release point'. If it breaks through this level, the negative Gamma effect could intensify volatility. This volatility characteristic will also transmit to MOVE in the derivatives market, amplifying short-term price movements. If BTC continues to surge and opens a new volatility window, MOVE may experience rapid shifts between attack and defense in the short term; if the breakout fails, beware of the risk of a pullback.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Although MOVE has shown momentum for a rebound in the short term, its medium- to long-term performance still depends on overall market liquidity and the token's intrinsic value logic. Hawkish Fed monetary policy could constrain sustained rallies in risk assets, and without substantial ecosystem updates on the project side, it will be difficult to maintain elevated levels. Investors should not only seize short-term opportunities, but also carefully assess medium- and long-term holding costs and return expectations by considering platform incentives, token utility scenarios, and other fundamental factors.

Movement

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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Movement Price: MOVE Live Price Today | MOVE Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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MOVE price today is 0.02, with a live price change of 1.58 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade MOVE on Bybit-eu.

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