PLOT will benefit from the overall restoration of confidence in the crypto market. In the short term, sentiment-driven factors may trigger a technical rebound of 2%-5% in price, although its sustainability awaits validation from trading data. In the medium to long term, the platform's core liquidity is highly concentrated in a few categories. Only if Polymarket can expand into macro contracts and optimize its liquidity structure will PLOT unlock its high-beta potential. Otherwise, token trading depth and valuation elasticity will remain constrained. It is recommended to continue swing trading (selling high and buying low) in the short term and to closely monitor the platform’s progress in structural product innovation over the long term.

Recently, the overall crypto market has shown signs of improvement, with some trend inflection points beginning to emerge and investor confidence gradually recovering after a period of cautious observation. As the ecosystem token of Polymarket, PLOT's short-term sentiment will benefit from the recovery across the sector. Although more data is needed to confirm its sustainability, the rise in market sentiment could attract more speculative buying into PLOT in the short term, driving a modest price rebound.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Liquidity in Polymarket’s short-term contract markets is relatively weak, with over 60% of contracts seeing no trades within 24 hours, leading to liquidity being highly concentrated in a few high-quality contracts. As the governance and settlement token of the ecosystem, PLOT faces pressure in trading depth and activity. In the medium to long term, the concentration of liquidity in 'macro political hedging' themes presents value realization opportunities for PLOT, but this depends on whether the platform can further diversify into macro products beyond high-frequency events to enhance the overall depth of trading activity.

PlotX

The Powell era comes to an end: What has he left behind?

Reminder: Please pay special attention to the following (all times are in Beijing time).

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The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates as expected, with internal divisions reaching the highest level since 1992.

Wall Street Breakfast | April 30, 2026.

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