PSM is temporarily constrained by insufficient liquidity, with trading volume highly concentrated in a few contracts. Bid-ask spreads and slippage risks have risen, dampening short-term sentiment and lacking sustained upward momentum. In contrast, long-term trading segments show significant improvements in liquidity and depth, fueled by continued institutional and macro hedging demand with clear value support. There is currently a lack of trend-based candlestick guidance, and prices remain within a narrow range (no effective breakout of the key 0.98-1.02 zone). Strategically, a wait-and-see approach is recommended for the short term until volume and volatility improve; PSM offers medium to long-term allocation value, with a focus on how macro risk events drive hedging demand.

Recent data from the Polymarket platform shows that within 24 hours, short-term (within one day) contracts have minimal trading volume, with a few leading contracts accounting for most transactions. This reflects an overall lack of short-term market liquidity. For PSM, short-term position holders face higher bid-ask spreads and slippage risks, putting pressure on short-term sentiment and making sustained upward momentum difficult.

Meanwhile, the long-term (over 30 days) market exhibits notable liquidity advantages, with trading concentration focused on themes such as macro-political hedging. Liquidity is dozens of times that of the short-term market, indicating that PSM—as a token focused on macro event prediction and hedging—is likely to remain stable under the support of long-term holders and institutional hedging demand, with clearer value fundamentals.

Currently, the Bybit platform does not offer significant trend-based candlestick signals for PSM. Prices generally fluctuate within a narrow range, with no clear breakout of support or resistance levels. In the absence of technical confirmation, it is recommended to adopt a wait-and-see approach in the short term and consider entry only after improvements in trading volume and volatility.

Pulseium

BoE: Holding fire with two-sided risks – Deutsche Bank

Fed: Warsh-led cuts seen limited – Rabobank

Japan's Katayama: Getting closer to taking decisive step in FX market

Ouch. The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield just hit 5% and bitcoin may pay the price.

Bank of Japan: High oil prices and a weak yen could keep core inflation at around 3% for two consecutive years

The Federal Reserve maintains the interest rate at 3.5%-3.75%, continuing its wait-and-see approach.

Morgan Stanley delays Fed rate cut expectations to next year, inflation pressures remain high.

The Powell era comes to an end: What has he left behind?

Reminder: Please pay special attention to the following (all times are in Beijing time).

US growth likely picked up in first quarter, but consumer spending probably cooled

Bybit-eu

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Pulseium Preis: Aktueller PSM Preis | PSM Marktkapitalisierung & Chartanalyse | Bybit-eu

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