PUNDU is currently constrained by short-term liquidity divergence and risk appetite convergence in the crypto market, resulting in pressured short-term trading volume and narrowing volatility range. It is recommended to focus on key support levels (such as 0.85 USDT). If there is no new buying interest in the short term, be alert to price imbalance and intensified bearish sentiment. From a medium to long-term perspective, as prediction market mechanisms mature and platform activity increases, PUNDU has the potential to attract institutional capital and improve liquidity. It is advised to build a base position on dips and patiently await valuation recovery driven by macro catalysts.

Latest data shows that short-term (within 1 day) crypto market trading activity has significantly shrunk, with only a few top contracts accounting for nearly half of the total volume, while the long-term market (over 30 days) demonstrates liquidity several times greater than the short term. This indicates that the current crypto derivatives market is polarizing into 'high-frequency sports betting' and 'macro political hedging'. Overall, short-term market participants are more cautious and risk appetite has converged.

Against a backdrop of tightening short-term liquidity, PUNDU's intraday trading volume may be under pressure, with prices likely experiencing reduced volatility and brief imbalances. If new buying interest fails to emerge, bearish sentiment may intensify and short-term volatility risk increases. Technically, there is currently a lack of clear trend indicators, so it is recommended to monitor the stability of key support levels to capture potential low-level rebound opportunities.

In the long run, macro politics and major thematic markets are becoming mainstream targets for capital allocation. With the implementation of more mature hedging and prediction market mechanisms, PUNDU may gradually attract solid institutions and funds through increased platform activity and deeper contract development. Liquidity and market capitalization are expected to grow simultaneously, providing substantive support for its value.

Pundu

Fed: Extended pause before late 2026 cut – UOB

Mitsubishi UFJ: Stalemate in US-Iran negotiations intensifies inflation concerns, causing gold prices to drop.

Koehler: Unless the situation significantly improves, interest rate hikes are inevitable.

The European Central Bank will raise interest rates twice this year as the Iran war drives inflation higher, a Bloomberg survey shows.

Private-credit firms report decline in returns amid Fed rate cuts

Goldman Sachs: Fed expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in both 2026 and 2027

Trump calls Iran’s peace proposal totally unacceptable, oil prices rise

Japanese authorities intervene, reducing bearish yen positions to $4.9B

CITIC Securities: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points once in the second half of the year.

Iran sends response to U.S. ceasefire proposal as oil and crypto markets watch closely

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