GOO is currently in a consolidation phase. While there are signs of market sentiment improvement, the main trend remains unclear, and caution is advised against false breakouts. From a technical perspective, attention should be paid to the support at the lower bound and resistance at the upper bound of the range: if the lower bound fails, the correction pressure will intensify; if the price effectively breaks through the upper bound with increased volume, a rebound trend may be established. Before a confirmed breakout, it is recommended to maintain a range-bound strategy and dynamically track changes in trading volume and closing prices to control trading rhythm.

According to the latest market updates, the overall sentiment in crypto assets is starting to improve, and investor confidence is picking up, though it remains in a testing stage. There is still no clear unilateral market trend, so beware of the risk of false breakouts. The sentiment upturn is more about a loosening of the wait-and-see attitude rather than strong bullish enthusiasm. Therefore, when following the shift in sentiment, remain cautious and confirm the reliability of trend continuation in conjunction with subsequent changes in trading volume and price actions.

Judging by recent candlestick patterns, GOO has entered a narrow-range consolidation at a low level, with trading volumes continuing to shrink and technical indicators remaining neutral, suggesting a standoff between bulls and bears at the current price range. Key attention should be paid to two critical levels: first, the support at the lower edge of the range—if this level is lost, further pullbacks may occur; second, the resistance at the upper edge of the range—if breached with increasing volume, it can be seen as a signal confirming a short-term rebound. Until resistance breakout is confirmed, a range-trading strategy is preferable, with close monitoring of volume and closing price coordination.

Silly Goose

Safe-haven retreat + rising expectations of interest rate cuts, dollar bulls collectively retreat!

Eurozone: Stagflation risk builds after Iran conflict – Rabobank

USD: Stagflation Risk Supports Resilience – OCBC Bank

ECB: Limited case for renewed rate hikes – Commerzbank

Fed rate cut pushed back to late 2026 on war-related inflation risks

The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates at least once this year, supported by 71 economists.

Simkus: Cannot rule out the possibility of the European Central Bank raising interest rates this year.

USD: Recovery restrained as conflict risk seen low – DBS

On April 21, during a hearing in the U.S. Senate, current Federal Reserve Chairman Powell was mentioned 10 times.

CICC Research Report: Walsh's statements at the hearing have shown a tendency to cut interest rates.

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