Although the current STABUL market shows signs of recovery, neither trading volume nor technical indicators has formed a strong upward signal, and the trend reversal point is yet to be confirmed. Short-term liquidity remains insufficient, and trading depth is weak, making the market susceptible to drastic price fluctuations and widening slippage; risks must be strictly controlled. The release of mid- to long-term value hinges critically on macro catalysts and the actual implementation of use cases. It is advised to maintain a cautious wait-and-see stance, closely monitor key trading zones (focus on core support convergence areas, and dynamically adjust main resistance zones within a 5–10% fluctuation range), and combine external policy and project developments for strategic timing of entry.

Recently, the market has exhibited early signals of recovery, but the available data samples are limited, making it difficult to establish a sustained and definitive upward trend. From a candlestick chart perspective, there are currently no clear bullish patterns or breakout volumes, so this can only be considered a potential opportunity. Continued observation of trading volume and key price levels is required to assess whether the upward momentum will be solidified.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

In the short term, the market shows a distinct scarcity of liquidity; over 60% of large-scale contracts recorded no trades within 24 hours, with overall trading volumes far below those of other asset classes. This means that STABUL may face increased slippage and expansion of bid-ask spreads in short-term speculative trading, so both long and short participants should remain alert to sharp price swings caused by shallow market depth.

Looking at the mid- to long-term market, capital tends to favor political and macro themes, with liquidity there being 45 times higher than in the short term. If STABUL lacks stable application use cases or macro event drivers, it will struggle to attract locked-in capital. In the future, successful integration of real project deployments and policy expectations may break through the current liquidity bottleneck and enhance the long-term token value performance.

Stabull Finance

Bitcoin, Ethereum Dip as Fed Holds Rates Steady for Third Straight Time

Bitcoin slips to $75k as Fed holds rates, crypto stocks tumble

Market pricing shows the probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike has risen to 11%.

Summary of key points from Powell's last press conference as Chairman of the Federal Reserve.

Powell: Policy likely to remain in neutral range

Powell: Maintaining the interest rate unchanged is the right decision.

Powell: Commitment to reducing inflation to 2% remains unwavering

Powell: Dissenters on easing stance are not leaning towards rate hikes

Brad Conger: Internal Fed Disputes Set Tone for Future Policy, Hawks May Prevail

BREAKING: FED Chair Jerome Powell Holds a Press Conference Following the Interest Rate Decision – LIVE

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