USDKG is driven by improved short-term liquidity, presenting an opportunity for a technical rebound. If moving averages converge and turn upward with volume follow-through, attention should be paid to the potential breakout at the upper end of the range. However, the medium-to-long-term structure has yet to shake off sustained selling pressure; moving averages remain weak. If liquidity recedes or stablecoin premiums turn negative again, downside risk will intensify. It is recommended to follow momentum in the short term and watch for resistance at the 2.14-2.18 range, taking profits promptly if the rebound stalls. From a medium- to long-term perspective, strictly observe the key support around 2.05; if lost, reduce positions to guard against a potential trend reversal.

According to the latest market news, the overall crypto asset market is currently in a phase of internal competition and capital jockeying. The discount/premium index of major stablecoins has turned positive from negative, indicating an easing of sell pressure in the market. Coupled with a simultaneous improvement in liquidity indicators, bulls may seize this opportunity to trigger a short-term covering rally. For USDKG, recent candlestick charts show a narrow trading range without significant volume expansion. However, in an environment of improved liquidity, if buyers become more active, a technical rebound may be triggered. Traders should watch for the convergence and upward turn of key moving averages along with volume confirmation to capture short-term upside momentum.

Although short-term sentiment has improved, market commentary also points out that the medium- to long-term market trend remains under pressure from sustained selling. USDKG has yet to establish a clear bullish alignment on longer time-frame charts, and the middle band of the moving averages is flat or slightly downward, suggesting that the struggle between bulls and bears remains unresolved. If liquidity recedes or major stablecoin premiums fall again, risks will quickly materialize in price action. Investors need to pay attention to the validity of key support levels and stop-loss points when capital flows weaken, so as not to overlook potential structural selling pressure amid a fleeting rebound.

USDKG

US Treasury yields rise, market focuses on this week's central bank meetings.

Barclays: The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged this week, but may still cut rates within the year.

Bank of England to keep rates on hold while it gauges impact of Iran war

The Bank of Japan is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Tuesday, setting up a communication challenge for Governor Kazuo Ueda as the foundering yen hovers near levels that have prompted past interventions.

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 100%, while the probability of a rate cut in June is only 4.7%.

HTX DeepThink: After Interest Rate Cut Expectations Are Postponed to September, the Structural Differentiation of the Crypto Market Intensifies

FOMC Meeting: US Fed Expected To Hold Rates Till 2027 Despite Kevin Warsh Taking Charge

Senate Committee Sets April 29 Vote To Advance Pro-Crypto Warsh’s Fed Chair Nomination

The global oil shock has the Fed cornered just days before its next meeting — what that means for Bitcoin

The US Treasury market is focusing on the Federal Reserve meeting, with the probability of a rate cut by the end of the year rising to 40%.

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