Bitcoin's surge has driven a rebound in risk appetite. BSB’s short-term volume and price have both expanded, with bullish sentiment taking the lead. The $0.274–$0.2617 area serves as a key support zone. A breakout above the $0.44 resistance during trading could open further upside potential; otherwise, beware of pullback pressure. Ongoing improvement in macro liquidity, institutional entry, and ETF inflows provide medium-term bottom support. It is recommended to follow the bullish hold in the support zone and opportunities of resistance breakout, while closely tracking the marginal impact of macro variables on market sentiment.

Recently, Bitcoin has successively broken four-week highs, approaching the critical volatility trigger at $75,000. The alternating intensification of volatility from negative gamma exposures and relative stability in the positive gamma range has released risk appetite. Against this backdrop, since April 20, BSB has seen simultaneous rises in both volume and price; trading volume spiked to 32.5 million on the day, and price jumped from $0.233 to $0.274, indicating a clear revival in bullish sentiment. The increase in risk appetite has fueled a synchronous rebound in BSB.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where price fluctuations may intensify due to negative gamma effects in the derivatives market. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, previously a major resistance in January. Breaking above $75,000 could accelerate the uptrend, while a decline may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range marks a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through a four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

On the daily chart, BSB posted consecutive bullish candles from April 20 to 22, reaching as high as $0.4394. Trading volume continued to expand, reflecting short-term bullish dominance. Upon pullback, the $0.274–$0.2617 area forms the recent effective support; holding above this range can be seen as a logical point for renewed bullish entry. A further reclaim of the $0.44 resistance may continue the upward momentum, otherwise, be alert to the risk of retracement to the support zone.

At the macro level, easing tensions in the US and Middle East have bolstered risk assets. Meanwhile, the Fed’s hawkish stance may increase market volatility, but overall risk appetite is enhancing institutional willingness to allocate toward digital assets. The continuous inflow into Bitcoin ETFs and accumulation by listed companies injects long-term liquidity into the entire crypto market, providing medium-term value support for BSB. It is recommended to monitor changes in macro liquidity for their ongoing impact on market sentiment.

Block Street

The Bank of Japan is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Tuesday, setting up a communication challenge for Governor Kazuo Ueda as the foundering yen hovers near levels that have prompted past interventions.

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 100%, while the probability of a rate cut in June is only 4.7%.

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The US Treasury market is focusing on the Federal Reserve meeting, with the probability of a rate cut by the end of the year rising to 40%.

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Netanyahu orders IDF to intensify attacks on Hezbollah, ceasefire in doubt

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