The current BULLISH long-side logic is solid: institutional buying expansion and active derivatives trading boost on-chain liquidity, coupled with a decrease in large holders' selling and suppressed short-term floating losses, effectively reduce selling pressure, strengthening the capital base. Bullish sentiment in the options market reinforces upside expectations, and trend-following demand resonates with the characteristics of leveraged products, granting BULLISH a capital inflow advantage during mainstream asset consolidation and sector rotation cycles. It is recommended to seize low entry opportunities within the 14.30–15.80 range, combine with trend-following strategies, position on pullbacks, and patiently await the mid- to short-term upside driven by capital resonance.

Recently, the world’s major banks have shifted from cautious observation to proactively integrating crypto assets, increasing on-chain liquidity and boosting derivatives trading volumes. Additionally, a potential further interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve would further lower financing costs and bolster the willingness to allocate to risk assets. Against this macro backdrop, institutions are continuously positioning in digital cash and ETF products, providing a broader liquidity foundation and market participation for leveraged and derivative tokens like BULLISH, facilitating a sustained inflow of bullish capital.

Major banks are shifting from viewing cryptocurrency as a risk to actively integrating it into their services. JPMorgan is advancing its US dollar deposit token, JPM Coin, onto blockchain infrastructure. Morgan Stanley plans to offer Bitcoin and Solana ETFs to wealth clients. Barclays invested in stablecoin infrastructure, and Bank of America now allows advisers to recommend spot Bitcoin ETFs. This signals Wall Street's full embrace of crypto and tokenized cash.

Wall Street’s crypto debate is over as banks go all-in on BTC, stablecoins, tokenized cash

Todd Schoenberg, CIO of Washington Crosscheck Management, stated that the weak December employment report adds uncertainty to 2025 and may reignite recession discussions on Wall Street. The soft labor market data also supports the Federal Reserve potentially cutting interest rates again in upcoming meetings, which has led to a stock market rally as traders view Fed decisions as a boost for the market.

Institutions: Weak December Nonfarm Payroll Data May Rekindle Recession Discussions

Bitcoin large-holder positions have reached historical highs, and as short-term holders are generally in a state of floating loss, their willingness to sell is significantly suppressed. Following a phase of deleveraging among top crypto assets, bullish demand has become concentrated, further solidifying market support. This structural reduction in selling pressure is expected to spill over to high-leverage instruments as risk appetite recovers, providing BULLISH with a solid capital base.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel notes that Bitcoin's current rise benefits from reduced selling pressure by short-term holders, who are currently at a loss since BTC trades below their average acquisition cost. This limits their profit-taking potential and suppresses sell pressure, explaining price resilience despite pullbacks. However, if BTC reaches $100,000, short-term holders may break even and start selling, creating price pressure. A key bullish signal is BTC closing above the short-term holders' realized price.

Analyst: The current BTC rise benefits from reduced selling pressure; if it reaches $100K, it will face selling from short-term holders.

The number of Bitcoin addresses holding at least 100 BTC has reached a new all-time high, indicating continued accumulation by large holders despite recent price dips and market volatility. This trend suggests growing confidence and capital concentration among bitcoin whales, including high-net-worth individuals and institutions. The milestone coincides with bitcoin trading near $90,000, reflecting long-term scarcity and resilient accumulation amid market consolidation.

Bitcoin Whales Keep Buying as 100+ BTC Addresses Set New Record

CryptoQuant analyst Axel noted that the current BTC price rise benefits from reduced selling pressure by short-term holders, who are currently at a loss since BTC trades below their average acquisition cost. This loss limits their selling potential, easing downward pressure. However, if BTC reaches $100,000, short-term holders may break even and start selling, creating price pressure. A key bullish signal would be BTC closing above the short-term holders' realized price.

Options data from Asia-Pacific markets show significant increases in bullish option trading volume and straddle/volatility strategies, indicating that institutions and speculators are increasing their bets on upward volatility. In the short term, rising implied volatility will drive retests on the underlying asset, further improving long-side liquidity for leveraged tokens. BULLISH, serving both as a hedging and speculative tool, is benefiting from this spread of bullish options sentiment.

QCP's market analysis on January 5 highlights a strengthening crypto market in Asia, with Bitcoin and Ethereum surpassing $92,000 and $3,100 respectively, driven by US actions in Venezuela, year-end tax-loss trading, and rising crypto legislation expectations. Speculation about Venezuela holding significant "shadow Bitcoin reserves" and using USDT in oil trades could make it a major sovereign BTC holder. Options data show a bullish shift, with increased call options and straddle strategies indicating short covering and bets on upward volatility.

QCP: Venezuela Situation and Options Funding Resonance Strengthen Bullish Expectations in the Crypto Market

Top investors emphasize that riding the trend is key during bull markets—even if precise tops and bottoms are hard to time, participating in the upward trend itself delivers excess returns. As the consensus solidifies around macro and industry drivers of the bull market, the advantages of trend-following token strategies become increasingly apparent. BULLISH’s design aligns with the demand for trend-leveraged positions in strong markets, making it particularly attractive amid current strong capital sentiment and momentum.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua stated that respected investors like Buffett profit from value and trends, not speculation. He affirmed that 2024 is set to be a bull market due to macro and industry factors beyond individual control. Short sellers are making a final effort but face losses—exiting early means small losses, exiting late means large losses. After a month of market volatility, optimism will prevail while pessimists lag behind.

Yi Lihua: Trend is better than speculation, the bull market is set, bears face "small losses early, big losses late."

Ethereum is entering a long cycle of consolidation, and the phased adjustment of mainstream assets is creating conditions for capital to seek alternative growth targets. As attention on volatile tokens resumes, BULLISH is expected to gain higher allocation during market rotations. In addition, short-term technical consolidation is strengthening opportunities for low-entry positioning, providing a clear entry point for investors pursuing excess returns.

Ethereum is in a prolonged accumulation phase, nearing completion as indicated by its inverted monthly chart and firm support in the ETH/BTC pair. This suggests a controlled, less volatile upcoming move rather than an explosive one. Key resistance lies between $3,800 and $4,500, with potential upside to $6,000-$7,500, while the primary risk is a retest of $1,800-$2,200. ETH/BTC's stability signals early capital rotation and potential for Ethereum to lead once momentum returns.

Ethereum’s Long Accumulation Nears Completion While ETH/BTC Holds The Line

Ethereum remains above $3,000 after reclaiming it on January 2 but is below $3,100, with $3,300 as the next resistance. XRP ended an ETF inflow streak with a $40.8 million net outflow. Maxi Doge raised $4.43 million and is currently priced at $0.0002775.

Crypto Price Prediction Today 9 January – XRP, Ethereum, Maxi Doge

Bullish Degen

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

ARK Invest reduces its holdings in Circle and Bullish stocks, with a total value exceeding $2.50 million.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Trump: US-Iran talks progress as Iran suspends nuclear program

Trump warns of bombing if no Iran deal by April 21 ceasefire expiration

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

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