ESPR observation shows that the cryptocurrency market sentiment has shown signs of a staged recovery, but a trend reversal still requires confirmation from increased technical volume. It is recommended that investors cautiously take small long positions in the short-term support range (such as the BTC $42,000-43,500 zone), setting the 20-day moving average breakdown as a stop-loss. During this period, closely monitor the interaction between trading volume and moving averages. If a breakout is not accompanied by volume and price cooperation, positions should be quickly reduced to avoid choppy markets. Manage positions prudently and maintain liquidity to cope with potential market fluctuations. The overall strategy focuses on short-term flexibility and strict risk control discipline.

Recently, the crypto market has experienced a series of modest upward movements, with market sentiment gradually rising from the previously depressed sideways pattern. Although prices are still fluctuating near key moving averages, buying interest has recovered somewhat. At this stage, it is too early to claim that the trend is fully established, but from a sentiment perspective, bulls and bears are engaging in another round of competition. In the short term, sentiment is shifting from cautious observation to tentative entry.

In the absence of a clear volume-backed price breakout, technical indicators remain in a wait-and-see area. If future candlesticks close above significant resistance levels, accompanied by increased trading volume, it can be viewed as preliminary confirmation of a medium- to short-term trend reversal. For now, it is recommended to watch the convergence and divergence among multiple moving averages, as well as whether volume follows suit effectively, and only position once a clear structure forms.

Given the gradual recovery of market sentiment, investors can attempt small long positions near key support areas, but must set strict stop-losses to avoid pullbacks. If the market fails to break out with volume in the short term, reduce positions promptly and wait. Overall, one should capture short-term sentiment-driven gains triggered by news, while also managing position sizes and risks, leaving enough flexibility for possible trend fluctuations.

Espresso Bot

BoJ: Hike call postponed to June – Danske Bank

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EUR/USD: Foreign inflows support upside potential – ING

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Gold: Inflation and Fed risks cap upside – ING

ECB: Lagarde Signals No Near-Term Rate Move – Danske Bank

Nikkei: Bank of Japan to hold rates steady in April

Fed Chair Nominee Kevin Warsh Vows Fed Independence Despite Trump’s Push for Rate Cuts

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April has reached 100%.

US Treasuries are still pricing in a war in the Middle East that other asset classes have shrugged off, setting up a drop in yields as they catch up, according to Bank of America.

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