Driven by short-term liquidity improvement, FARTBOY is expected to see a technical rebound in January within the key support range (±5% from the current low). It is recommended to monitor volume and spread amplification signals to seize short-term trading opportunities. However, structural weakness in transaction fees and volume persists, keeping long-term risk appetite suppressed. We maintain the view that the rebound will be limited in height and faced with considerable profit-taking pressure. Strategy-wise, light position short-term participation is advised, with stop-loss referenced to previous lows. If a downside breakout occurs, exit promptly to strictly control risk exposure.

Analyst views indicate that macro liquidity recovery may lead to a staged technical rebound in January. This suggests that after previous sideways movement or slight declines, short-term buying may intervene near key support areas, bringing FARTBOY a mean-reversion style rebound. Such rebounds are often driven by incremental funds; traders should focus on the simultaneous rise in trading volume and bid-ask spread to capture a short-cycle entry opportunity.

Meanwhile, on a long-term basis, overall market transaction fees and trading volume remain sluggish, indicating that capital flows are not truly active and risk appetite is under pressure. High-volatility assets like FARTBOY thus continue to face downward pressure and struggle to sustain lasting upward momentum. Investors should be cautious of profit-taking after short-term rebounds and employ strict stop-loss and position management to address potential second-phase downside risks.

Fartboy

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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