KAITO is facing a large short-term unlock of over 12 million tokens, which is expected to create significant supply pressure around the current market price (near $0.48), likely resulting in high volatility and pullbacks in the short term. Although the current trend is clearly bullish, the $0.49–$0.50 zone acts as major resistance. If support at $0.45–$0.47 is lost, the probability of a fallback to $0.42–$0.40 increases. Suggestion: Monitor Bitcoin's performance at the $74,000 key level; if this level holds, KAITO may seize the momentum to test $0.50. Otherwise, short-term correction pressure will intensify, and it's advisable to control positions and guard against a retracement.

According to on-chain data platforms, approximately 12.11 million KAITO tokens will be unlocked on April 20, equivalent to around $5 million in new circulating market capitalization at the current price of about $0.48. Such a concentrated release is highly likely to spur intense selling in the short term, putting pressure on market sentiment. Technically, unlock days tend to correspond with high volatility and increased trading volume at the top, and in the days that follow, caution is needed for weakening bullish momentum and short-term pullback risks.

According to ChainCatcher and Web3 asset data platform RootData, Kaito (KAITO) will unlock approximately 12.11 million tokens valued at about 4.86 million USD on April 20 at 12:00 Beijing time.

RootData: KAITO will unlock tokens worth approximately $4.86 million in one week.

From April 1 ($0.4068) to April 17 ($0.4876), KAITO recorded a nearly 20% cumulative gain in three weeks, repeatedly setting new highs accompanied by surging trading volumes, highlighting a dominant bullish pattern. However, frequent upper wicks and minor pullbacks near the high indicate buying resistance at the $0.49–$0.50 zone. If price fails to hold the $0.47–$0.45 support, a short-term test of $0.42–$0.40 is likely; otherwise, as long as the support holds, bulls may aim for another push toward the $0.50 mark.

Recently, Bitcoin broke above the $75,000 mark, with key support at $74,000. A sustained hold above this level and a push toward $78,000 could increase overall risk appetite and provide KAITO with the momentum to rally higher. Conversely, should Bitcoin fall below $74,000 due to macro liquidity tightening or short covering, it could trigger market hesitancy or a chain reaction of profit-taking in risk assets, exerting secondary pressure on KAITO in the short term. Investors should closely monitor if Bitcoin secures confirmation within this critical range to judge the timing and flow of capital in and out of KAITO.

KAITO

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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KAITO price today is 0.49, with a live price change of 2.24 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade KAITO on Bybit-eu.

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