The current AAAHHM market presents a landscape where sentiment recovery coexists with liquidity divergence, potentially maintaining a short-term upward oscillation trend. However, verification through volume and depth is still insufficient. It is recommended to strictly monitor VWAP and capital flows, while flexibly adjusting positions based on order book depth and major holder dynamics. If trading volume significantly expands and breaks above the upper boundary of the key range (suggested key range: 3.55-3.78), consider adding positions in batches. If liquidity does not markedly improve, prudent leverage control is advised to mitigate risks of high volatility and slippage.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost recently pointed out that signs of improvement have appeared in the crypto market, but cautioned against drawing conclusions prematurely. Against this backdrop, AAAHHM may experience short-term sentiment repair. If subsequent trading volume expands simultaneously, it may catalyze a breakout from the current narrow consolidation range; if volume remains sluggish, be wary of continued sideways oscillation. It is recommended to pay attention to the comparative volume between longs and shorts and capital inflow changes to confirm the direction of trend continuation.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

PANews data shows that, in the short term, crypto derivatives markets generally lack liquidity, with 24-hour trading volume only in the tens of thousands of dollars. AAAHHM trading pairs are similarly facing weak depth and risks from large order impacts, leading to intensified short-term volatility. Traders should closely monitor order book depth and concentration of major holders, and cautiously manage leverage and position sizing to guard against abrupt liquidity drops causing sharp price swings and slippage losses.

Considering both sentiment recovery and liquidity divergence, AAAHHM is expected to present a volatile upward trend in the medium to short term, but requires dual verification of trading volume and depth. It is recommended to combine VWAP and capital flow indicators to dynamically adjust position allocation. When bottoming is confirmed with expanding volume or significant selling pressure emerges at highs, respectively increase or decrease positions to optimize the risk-reward ratio.

Plankton in Pain

Economists: The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged, waiting for changes in employment and inflation.

Mexico’s central bank will consider one more interest rate cut at its May meeting that may bring an end to the easing cycle it started two years ago, Governor Victoria Rodriguez Ceja said.

The Fed is set to hold rates in what’s likely Powell’s last meeting as chair - then it’ll be Kevin Warsh’s turn in what has become a political hotseat under Donald Trump

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BOJ Holds Rates at 0.75% as Nikkei and Crypto Markets Slip

Fed Interest Rate Tomorrow: What to Expect, Will It Be Powell’s Last Speech

The Bank of Japan left its rate unchanged in a split vote that increased the likelihood of a hike in June. But the weak yen saw only a brief respite as Governor Kazuo Ueda cast doubt on the economy’s outlook.

Institution: Bank of Japan's "policy reaction function" has changed, yen movement becomes key to rate hikes.

Kazuo Ueda: Interest rate hike decisions and quantitative tightening adjustments will be conducted separately.

Bank of Japan Governor: Interest rate hikes necessary if supply shock triggers secondary ripple effects

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