Amid the current global macroeconomic volatility, frequent DeFi security incidents, and escalating geopolitical risks, overall market risk appetite for high-risk small-cap tokens has notably contracted. Short-term capital flows have turned conservative, resulting in temporary valuation pressure for IN. Although sustained inflows into ETFs have lifted market sentiment and IN oscillates within a $0.062–0.068 range, high borrowing rates and active speculative short positions signal increased short-term volatility. It is advised to set stop-loss orders below $0.062, reduce positions above $0.068, and await a breakout with volume confirmation before following the trend, while strictly controlling position sizes and risk exposure.

The recent Editor's Choice Weekly reports highlight dynamic changes in the global macroeconomic landscape, such as concerns over oil supply shortages, the reopening of Gulf region trade routes, and heightened uncertainty over forthcoming regulatory policies. Meanwhile, frequent security incidents in the DeFi sector have led investors to adopt a more cautious approach to overall industry risk. In the context of asset allocation, capital may shift from high-risk segments back to safer, more certain assets, exerting short-term pressure on small-cap contract tokens like IN, which is likely to face further scrutiny under current conditions.

The Weekly Editor's Picks (0418-0424) highlights key insights from fast-moving news, covering macroeconomic trends like the looming physical oil supply shortage despite the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, investment and crypto market analyses including user geography and token strategies, and policy updates such as the uncertain passage of the CLARITY Act. It also addresses DeFi challenges, security incidents, and notable industry developments, offering a curated filter to retain valuable perspectives amid information overload.

Weekly Editor's Picks (0418-0424)

As the conflict in the Middle East enters its ninth week, several major central banks are assessing the potential impact on the global economy. The Bank of Japan, Bank of Canada, the US Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and European Central Bank are all expected to keep rates unchanged, but their responses to persistent geopolitical risks will heavily influence market risk appetite. The prevailing market sentiment is one of caution, which is likely to suppress demand for high-volatility assets in the short term and place constraints on buying interest for small-cap contract tokens such as IN.

Danske Bank analyst Asger Wilhelm Dalsjo highlights that with the Middle East conflict entering its ninth week, central banks will assess its current and future economic impacts. This week, the Bank of Japan, Bank of Canada, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and European Central Bank will hold policy meetings. While all are expected to keep interest rates unchanged, their evaluations of the conflict's economic effects will be closely watched, making monetary policy decisions the main market driver.

Analyst: Interest rate decision will be the main market driver, focus on the impact of Middle East conflict.

Data shows that Bitcoin and Ethereum have recently gained about 2% and 3%, respectively, pushing major Asian stock indices to new historical highs. Meanwhile, spot Bitcoin ETFs at home and abroad have recorded over $800 million in net inflows for four consecutive weeks, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index rebounding from 'Fear' to 'Neutral.' In this environment of spillover capital and positive sentiment, IN's daily close has rebounded from around $0.064 to $0.066, and though trading volume has retreated from previous highs, liquidity remains sufficient to provide a foundation for a possible further rebound.

Bitcoin rose 2% to $7,910 and Ethereum 3% to $2,388 amid easing geopolitical tensions, boosting Asian markets with Japan's Nikkei 225 and South Korea's Kospi hitting record highs. The US spot Bitcoin ETF saw $823.7 million net inflows for the fourth consecutive week. The crypto fear and greed index improved from 29 (fear) to 47 (neutral). Analyst Dominick John attributes gains to ETF inflows, technical breakthroughs, and reduced risk aversion.

Analyst: Both the crypto market and Asian stock markets rise amid easing geopolitical tensions.

On the other hand, short-term speculators have become more active, with borrowing rates spiking to between 11% and 19%—the highest levels since 2023—indicating intensifying short interest. From a technical perspective, after peaking and forming a long upper shadow in mid-April, IN tested support at the $0.062 level and has since been consolidating within the $0.062–0.068 range. It is crucial to pay close attention to trading volume at the range boundaries; a breakout with significant volume could trigger the next trend move. Traders are advised to set strict take-profit and stop-loss levels to manage potential short squeezes or retests.

Incoin

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The European Central Bank's inclination to raise interest rates has strengthened, with Lagarde emphasizing increased risks.

European Central Bank officials stated that if energy prices do not ease, interest rates will be raised in June.

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