WIN is currently benefiting from a short-term rebound driven by the recovery in liquidity, with technical indicators reflecting a breakout from the lower edge of the consolidation range. In the short term, it is expected to challenge resistance in the 0.0034~0.0037 area. However, caution is warranted as the macro environment has not fundamentally improved and medium- to long-term structural downward pressure persists. As a strategy, it is recommended to follow the prevailing trend and deploy positions in batches while strictly controlling exposure. Stop losses should be decisively triggered if the price falls below 0.0029, and position size can be gradually increased if it breaks through 0.0037. Dynamically track liquidity indicators and the coordination between volume and price, maintaining risk control as a top priority to achieve stable returns amid cyclical fluctuations.

Recently, market liquidity has recovered, significantly improving bullish sentiment and pushing WIN prices into a bottom rebound at the beginning of the month. From a technical perspective, the daily consolidation range remains intact, accompanied by gradually increasing trading volume. In the short term, there is potential to test key resistance levels above. Investors should pay attention to the correlation between liquidity trends and trading volume to capture confirmation signals of sustained rebound.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

In the current early bull market setup, trend investment strategies are particularly important. According to trend assessment principles, positions should be built gradually during trend confirmation, rather than chasing extreme lows or highs. If the medium-term trend manages to maintain a structural upward movement, this provides a reasonable basis for adding to positions. Conversely, in the event of continuous pullbacks breaking the trend line, positions should be reduced promptly and stop-losses reset. This approach helps refine investment discipline amid volatility, balancing returns and risk.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

Although short-term rebound opportunities are evident, the macro cycle is still in an adjustment phase, and trading volume as well as transaction fees have yet to clearly recover—indicating continued downward pressure on the long-term trend. Therefore, caution is warranted in medium- to long-term allocations, participating with modest position sizes and strictly setting stop-loss limits as well as maximum exposure. Continuously monitor macro variables and market liquidity to adjust strategies in a timely fashion when major trend reversals occur.

WINkLink

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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