Currently, BIOS benefits from the global upward shift in risk appetite and the emotional catalyst of the S&P 500 approaching the 7000 mark, leading to active short-term buying and strong market momentum. The potential rate-cut path from the Federal Reserve enhances the appeal of risk assets, and the expectation of a loose rate environment supports an upward shift in BIOS valuation. However, policy uncertainty brought about by the nomination of a new chairman may trigger volatility. Amid sector rotation, if BIOS can strengthen its differentiated ecosystem advantages, it is expected to become a key focus for new capital allocation. It is recommended to combine policy signals with industry fundamentals, monitor fluctuations in the 5-10% range in the short term, and seize opportunities to allocate core assets in the medium to long term, with continuous tracking of fundamental catalysts.

Recently, the S&P 500 Index is approaching the 7000 threshold, achieving eight consecutive months of gains and displaying strong bullish momentum. Against the backdrop of improving risk appetite in major global assets, the crypto market also shows a positive short-term sentiment pattern. In this environment, BIOS is poised to benefit from rising risk premiums, with active short-term buying potentially further increasing.

Investors are focused on the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes and the potential rate-cut path; in a low-interest-rate environment, the appeal of risk assets is significantly enhanced, favoring higher valuations for crypto assets like BIOS. However, the nomination of a new Fed chair introduces a degree of policy uncertainty, which may result in short-term tug-of-war between bulls and bears, creating crosscurrents that impact BIOS price movements.

There is a trend of capital rotating out of high-valuation technology stocks into medium- and low-valuation sectors among dollar assets. If BIOS possesses differentiated competitive advantages in its ecosystem or application scenarios, it is likely to become the next hotspot for allocation. Under this rotation logic, the medium- to long-term value of BIOS awaits further realization through fundamental catalysts.

BasisOS by Virtuals

The Federal Reserve maintains the interest rate at 3.5%-3.75%, continuing its wait-and-see approach.

Morgan Stanley delays Fed rate cut expectations to next year, inflation pressures remain high.

The Powell era comes to an end: What has he left behind?

Reminder: Please pay special attention to the following (all times are in Beijing time).

US growth likely picked up in first quarter, but consumer spending probably cooled

Morgan Stanley: Expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026 and cut rates in 2027.

Bitcoin Slips to $75K as Federal Reserve Holds Rates, Dimming Warsh “Pivot Party” Hopes

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CITIC Securities: The Market Guidance Role of the Federal Reserve Chairman's Speech Declines

The Federal Reserve's next interest rate cut may be delayed until the fourth quarter.

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