FISHW shows initial signs of a short-term bottom. Market sentiment has warmed, driving the token price into a narrow-range fluctuation within the key support zone (currently 2.80–3.10), and technical indicators suggest a rebound opportunity. However, trading volume and macro liquidity have yet to undergo a fundamental reversal, and structural pressures remain. In terms of strategy, short-term traders can watch for rebound opportunities toward the 3.40–3.60 area, but do not blindly chase longs unless there is a breakout above the previous high with increased volume. Maintain a cautious approach for the mid-to-long term, pay attention to continuous improvements in volume and capital inflows, and wait for a clear trend before increasing positions.

Recent market data indicates that long-short sentiment is becoming balanced. Crypto monitoring institutions have pointed out initial signs of improvement, with capital liquidity beginning to recover. Along with FISHW's candlestick performance, the token price has shown narrow fluctuations near key support levels, trading volume is gradually contracting, the Bollinger Bands are tightening, and the RSI is approaching the oversold region, providing the fundamental conditions for a technical rebound. In the short term, bulls may leverage the warming liquidity to trigger a bottom rebound, and market sentiment may heat up accordingly.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

Although there are stabilization signals in the short-term market, there are still obvious differences from a macro cycle perspective. While liquidity has improved in the short term, it is difficult to reverse the long-term trend of regional trading volume and transaction fee declines, and the market has yet to escape the structural pressure accumulated during the bear market. For value investors, this is more of an observation period of potential trend reversal rather than a period of confirmation. If the rebound lacks support from trading volume, prices can easily fall back, so mid-to-long-term downside risks should be closely watched.

Professional investors, comparing typical bull-bear transition patterns, believe that the current stage may be the 'final struggle of the bears' characterized by choppy movement. As pessimistic expectations are cleared, capital seeking to buy the dip starts to enter the market, but large-scale bull momentum has yet to fully emerge—making sharp swings between brief optimism and repeated pullbacks likely. For FISHW to break out of the current trading range, both expanding trading volume and a breakout above the prior high are needed; otherwise, the token will remain stuck in the tug-of-war of market sentiment.

Fishwar

The Federal Reserve maintains the interest rate at 3.5%-3.75%, continuing its wait-and-see approach.

Morgan Stanley delays Fed rate cut expectations to next year, inflation pressures remain high.

The Powell era comes to an end: What has he left behind?

Reminder: Please pay special attention to the following (all times are in Beijing time).

US growth likely picked up in first quarter, but consumer spending probably cooled

Morgan Stanley: Expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026 and cut rates in 2027.

Bitcoin Slips to $75K as Federal Reserve Holds Rates, Dimming Warsh “Pivot Party” Hopes

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CITIC Securities: The Market Guidance Role of the Federal Reserve Chairman's Speech Declines

The Federal Reserve's next interest rate cut may be delayed until the fourth quarter.

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