HOOK is currently in a phase of consolidation and bottom formation, with key support at $0.0079 and short-term resistance focusing on $0.0090. Accompanied by shrinking trading volumes, there are clear signs of a balance between bulls and bears. As the macro environment gradually improves and risk appetite recovers, a stable position for Bitcoin above $75,000 would facilitate capital inflows into small and mid-cap tokens. It is recommended to closely monitor macro liquidity and key Bitcoin levels, buy on dips in the short term provided the technical bottom is confirmed; for the mid-term, wait for core ecosystem progress and industry catalysts, and await the realization of value.

After falling from a mid-March high to the $0.008 region, HOOK entered a prolonged phase of range-bound consolidation. In the past ten-plus trading days, closes have concentrated between $0.0081 and $0.0083, with significantly reduced trading volume, indicating that bulls and bears are currently in a temporary state of equilibrium at these price levels. Technically, the $0.0079 level has served as support multiple times, while resistance exists above $0.0090 in the short term. The continued minor fluctuations in candlesticks along with volume patterns suggest the market is forming a technical bottom and waiting for new catalysts.

Recently, Bitcoin has continuously set new multi-week highs, with market risk aversion noticeably easing, accompanied by global stock market rebounds and falling oil prices. The digital asset market is gradually moving out of the sensitivities around geopolitical conflicts, with clear signs of renewed risk appetite. If Bitcoin stands firm above key moving averages and continues its climb, it will help trigger capital inflows into small and mid-cap tokens, including HOOK. However, short-term liquidity remains cautious, and investors should pay attention to macro liquidity and Bitcoin's price swings around the $75,000 level and their impact on overall bullish sentiment.

Bitcoin surged past $72,000, rising about 3% to approximately $72,300, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly initiated talks with Lebanon, supported by Trump's call for reduced Israeli military actions to maintain a ceasefire. Bitcoin's 24-hour gain of around 2% outpaced other major cryptocurrencies and coincided with a rebound in U.S. stocks and a drop in oil prices. Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from tech stocks, influenced more by geopolitical and risk-averse factors.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through $72,000, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost market sentiment.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Against the backdrop of marginal improvement in macro risks and progressively clarified regulatory environment, the market's focus on infrastructure tokens is rising. Developments such as the granting of stablecoin licenses, ETF net inflows, and early-stage financing for innovative projects all help bolster expectations for industry development. At the same time, major digital assets are showing divergent trends among institutions, while smaller retail outflows may signal caution over excessive short-term gains. If HOOK can establish a solid technical structure and achieve ecosystem realization, the project may garner fundamental value support going forward.

Gate Ventures reports a phase of market rebound driven by easing macro risks, with major indices and cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH showing gains alongside net inflows into spot ETFs. Despite this, market sentiment remains extremely fearful, and capital return is cautious. Structural opportunities arise from network upgrades and regulatory progress, such as Hong Kong's issuance of stablecoin licenses. Financing activity increased, focusing on infrastructure and early-stage innovation, indicating ongoing market differentiation and a shift toward fundamentally and regulatorily supported assets.

Gate Ventures: Market Experiences Temporary Rebound but Divergence Continues, Capital Inflows and Structural Repair Proceed in Parallel

Santiment reported that amid recent market gains, small retail investors are selling significant amounts of Ethereum, with wallets holding 0.01 ETH or less reducing by 1,791 ETH (worth $4.16 million) in two days. The public perceives the 17% rise since March 29 as a bull trap, which ironically may strengthen the likelihood of the ongoing bullish momentum continuing.

Santiment: The general market believes the recent rise is a bull trap, but the bullish momentum may continue.

Hooked Protocol

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Trump: US-Iran talks progress as Iran suspends nuclear program

Trump warns of bombing if no Iran deal by April 21 ceasefire expiration

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

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