The recent price of ALICE has been boosted by market sentiment and synergy with the AI sector, resulting in stronger short-term bullish momentum. However, due to disturbances from geopolitical and macroeconomic risks, high volatility may persist. On the technical side, the $0.125–0.13 range has formed effective support. If the price stabilizes above $0.14 with continued capital inflow, there is potential for a mid-term rally towards the $0.16–0.17 zone. Conversely, a break below $0.13 requires attention to the risk of a pullback to the $0.11–0.12 range. It is recommended to focus on defending the support level in the short term and on marginal improvements in market liquidity, seizing swing-trading opportunities and guarding against downside risks from unexpected events.

In mid-to-late April, the overall risk appetite in the crypto market rebounded in the short term, with bullish participants actively entering, propelling both trading volume and prices of ALICE to soar within a single day. The leading effect of the AI sector spilled over to high-risk assets such as ALICE, while the price ratio of Ethereum to Bitcoin hit a new three-month high, further fueling demand for altcoins. As Bitcoin held its key support area and attempted to challenge $78,000, in-market bullish confidence was notably boosted, resulting in a rally underpinned by high liquidity conditions.

The crypto market sector saw widespread gains, with the AI sector leading with a 12.48% increase in 24 hours. Notably, Siren (SIREN) rose 92.70%, and SkyAI (SKYAI) increased by 32.37%. Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) fell 0.14%, remaining near $74,000, and Ethereum (ETH) dropped 1.12%, falling just above $2,300.

The cryptocurrency market sector broadly rose, with the AI sector leading gains of over 12%.

In Q1 2026, the Ethereum to Bitcoin price ratio (ETH/BTC) rebounded to 0.0313, a three-month high, indicating a recovery in the crypto market. Ethereum network users grew 82% year-on-year to 284,000, with transaction volume reaching 200.4 million. Stablecoin supply exceeded $180 billion, about 60% of the global market. Analysts suggest that if ETH/BTC closes above 0.035 weekly, it signals continued inflows into Ethereum and high-risk assets. Bitcoin remains above $74,000, supported by over $56 billion inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs.

Analysis: Ethereum-Bitcoin price ratio rebounds, overall crypto market recovers

Bitcoin recently surpassed $75,000 for the first time in 73 days, facing resistance near $78,000 with $74,000 seen as a critical support level for further gains. Market views diverge: bears cite weak macro liquidity and reliance on short-covering, while bulls highlight strong whale accumulation and potential breakthroughs above key moving averages. The broader market shows mixed signals amid geopolitical developments and fluctuating investor sentiment.

Trading moment: BTC encountered resistance at 78K, and it needs to hold 74K to aim for a breakthrough.

The Middle East situation continues to balance between ceasefire progress and ongoing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, becoming a core variable influencing market risk sentiment. On one hand, positive advancements in nuclear negotiations have temporarily alleviated concerns over energy prices, which benefits risk assets. On the other hand, lingering concerns about a potential escalation of conflict remain, prompting traders to quickly lock in profits after price surges. Additionally, uncertainties in the outlook for macro liquidity have led some large traders to adopt a wait-and-see attitude, intensifying fluctuations in the current market environment.

The Weekly Editor's Picks (0411-0417) curates insightful content amid fast information flow. Highlights include the US Navy's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz escalating conflict risks; the uncertain Federal Reserve chair succession amid political drama; strategies to identify and navigate manipulated "monster coins" in crypto; opposition to AI data centers in US towns; risks of unofficial AI API gateways; AI agents achieving significant crypto trading gains; institutional adoption challenges in prediction markets; and regulatory developments on stablecoins and their impact on banking and Hong Kong's financial ambitions.

Weekly Editor's Picks (0411-0417)

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes states the crypto market is currently in a "no-trade zone," with his fund Maelstrom making almost no trades in Q1 due to lack of clear direction. He warns AI will disrupt white-collar jobs, causing deflationary financial collapse, while tensions in the Hormuz Strait amid US-Iran conflict are key market variables. Hayes outlines three scenarios involving war outcomes, AI impact, and shifts in global financial and energy systems.

Arthur Hayes: The crypto market is currently in a "no-trade zone," with the AI unemployment wave and the situation in the Strait of Hormuz as key variables.

Technically, ALICE has found strong support in the $0.125–0.13 range, while the $0.18 level serves as an important short-term resistance. Trading volumes dropped sharply following the surge, indicating a demand for profit-taking among bulls at higher levels. If the price can hold above the $0.14 mark with continued improvement in capital flows, it is likely to test the $0.16–0.17 area again. Conversely, if it fails to defend the $0.13 support, caution is advised for a potential retreat back to the $0.11–0.12 zone.

My Neighbor Alice

FED Interest Rate Decision Is Coming Up – Will Rates Drop or Stay the Same? Here Are the Latest Projections

BoE: MPC Maintains a Cautious Stance – Rabobank

Euro-zone inflation probably jumped in April to the highest in 2 1/2 years as fallout from the Iran war squeezed economies across the currency area

USD/JPY: Supported but capped below 160 – DBS

The U.S. Attorney for Washington, D.C.: Will stop the investigation into Powell's Federal Reserve building costs.

The final value of the one-year inflation rate expectation in the US for April is 4.7%.

Bank of Canada to hold interest rates this year, show patience with energy inflation: Reuters poll

ECB: Rate hike call pushed to June – Rabobank

Economists raised their estimates for US inflation and said they expect only one Federal Reserve interest-rate cut this year amid elevated energy costs sparked by the Iran war.

The central bank and eight other departments: Prohibit providing online marketing services for virtual currency issuance and trading.

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My Neighbor Alice Price: ALICE Live Price Today | ALICE Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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ALICE price today is 0.15, with a live price change of 0.82 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade ALICE on Bybit-eu.

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