Affected by Bitcoin's deep retracement, NOT, as a high-beta asset, is currently facing significant pressure, with short-term funding and risk appetite difficult to recover. Technically, the key support level of $0.000375 in late March was breached with high volume, intensifying short-term downward pressure. It is recommended to remain highly cautious in the short term, focusing on the effectiveness of the support at $0.0003411 and changes in the overall market volume structure. Only after confirmation of a bottom signal and recovery in risk appetite should batch entry for mid- to long-term positions be considered, prioritizing defense and prudent strategies.

According to recent data, every 10% retracement in Bitcoin adds approximately 80 days to the recovery period. Bitcoin has currently declined about 45% from its peak, suggesting the overall market may require roughly 300 days to regain momentum. This signal indicates that short-term improvements in funding and risk appetite are unlikely. As a high-beta asset, NOT is prone to selling pressure when risk appetite falls, further intensifying short-term downward pressure.

From late February to now, NOT first hit a high of $0.000423 on March 12, then pulled back. Since March 22, volatility increased, and on March 26, a bearish candle decisively broke the $0.000375 support. Subsequently, NOT continued to fall, closing at $0.0003473 on March 28—a cumulative decline of nearly 18%. Trading volume surged during the breakdown, indicating intensified selling pressure. In the short term, attention can be given to the strength of supports around the March 28 low of $0.0003411 and the March 4 low near $0.0003563.

Considering both news and technical factors, short-term sentiment favors caution, and the market may maintain wide-ranging downward volatility. NOT needs to await confirmation of a Bitcoin bottom signal and recovery in risk appetite. In the medium to long term, if Bitcoin enters a sideways bottoming phase, risk assets may regain allocation value. It is advised to only enter batch positions after confirming stable support at $0.0003411 and seeing improvements in volume structure.

Notcoin

Crypto Market Remains Range-Bound; US Jobs Report Exceeds Expectations

Institutions: The stronger-than-expected rebound in March non-farm payrolls demonstrates the resilience of the US labor market, with inflation currently being the core variable in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.

Huatai Securities: March Nonfarm Payroll Data Reflects Resilience of the US Job Market, Inflation Becomes the Core Variable in Fed Policy

Crypto traders fade 2026 Fed cuts as U.S. unemployment dips, but risk assets hold bid

The IMF calls on the Bank of Japan to continue raising interest rates.

The Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rates twice this year to support the labor market.

CICC: Investment demand and prices for gold may both have room for upward correction.

Stronger, broader hiring could ease Fed job market worries

Fed's Daly: The Federal Reserve should focus on the employment rate rather than employment data.

Market Edges Higher; Strong U.S. Jobs Data Complicates Rate Outlook

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Notcoin Price: NOT Live Price Today | NOT Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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NOT price today is 0.00, with a live price change of 3.83 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade NOT on Bybit-eu.

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