In the short term, driven by the high levels of the S&P 500 and uncertainty around Federal Reserve policy, market risk appetite has increased, which may lead to a phase of spillover buying for USP. However, weakness in the technology sector and divergence in macro policies could heighten volatility, posing risks of a short-term pullback for USP. Technically, USP is currently oscillating within a converging range; it is recommended to focus on the key support level at [lower boundary point] and resistance at [upper boundary point]. Trading suggestion: consider staged entry near the lower boundary, set strict stop-losses, follow the trend if the upper boundary is breached, and beware of capital outflow and structural corrections due to changes in expectations.

Recently, the US stock market has continued to strengthen, with the S&P 500 approaching historical highs and resetting the market's risk appetite center. The collective rise in risk assets is often accompanied by cross-market capital flows, from which the crypto asset sector may also benefit. As investors remain focused on the yield curve and expectations of rate cuts, short-term risk appetite is expected to persist, possibly driving spillover buying in USP.

Despite the current optimistic market sentiment, upcoming Federal Reserve meeting minutes and divisions on the potential timing of rate cuts still leave room for overall market volatility. Furthermore, the technology sector's relatively weak performance may increase the pressure for corrections in high-valuation assets. Under these circumstances, USP prices may experience short-term consolidation and pullbacks; caution is advised against potential capital tightening or profit-taking that could trigger phase corrections.

From historical candlestick charts, USP has recently oscillated within its core support and resistance range, with overall trading volume declining and presenting a typical compression pattern. If capital continues to favor risk assets, accompanied by expanding volume, there is potential for an upside breakout of the current consolidation range; conversely, increased market volatility may result in the support level being breached and short-term correction ensuing. In terms of trading strategy, it is advisable to build positions in batches near the lower boundary, employ defensive stop-losses, and closely monitor confirmation signals of bullish breakouts above resistance.

Pareto USP

Fed: Leadership uncertainty shapes Dollar outlook – DBS

Allianz Chief Economic Advisor: Middle East Shock Drives Global Central Banks into a "Higher for Longer" Interest Rate Environment

Analyst: Interest rate decision will be the main market driver, focus on the impact of Middle East conflict.

US Treasury yields rise, market focuses on this week's central bank meetings.

Barclays: The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged this week, but may still cut rates within the year.

Bank of England to keep rates on hold while it gauges impact of Iran war

The Bank of Japan is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Tuesday, setting up a communication challenge for Governor Kazuo Ueda as the foundering yen hovers near levels that have prompted past interventions.

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 100%, while the probability of a rate cut in June is only 4.7%.

HTX DeepThink: After Interest Rate Cut Expectations Are Postponed to September, the Structural Differentiation of the Crypto Market Intensifies

FOMC Meeting: US Fed Expected To Hold Rates Till 2027 Despite Kevin Warsh Taking Charge

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