PTRUMP's short-term performance is driven by a rebound in market sentiment and marginal improvements in liquidity, and its price is expected to receive temporary support. There may be structural upside opportunities in the near term, so it is advised to keep positions flexible and focus on fluctuations within the 0.038-0.045 range. In the medium to long term, due to a slower-than-expected macro recovery and the absence of a substantial increase in trading activity, strict control over single-asset exposure is needed. It is recommended to gradually realize profits at highs, strengthen risk hedging, and protect funds.

Recently, market consensus has shifted towards the philosophy of trend-following investment, emphasizing participation in long positions during bull markets and appropriate reduction of holdings during bear markets. This view aligns with the current emotional tone of the crypto asset market, where confidence in a continued upward trend is increasing. For PTRUMP, such trend-following strategies can help achieve positive short-term returns while reducing risks of buying at the top or panic selling, thereby providing temporary support.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

Due to reduced selling pressure on major mainstream coins and improved liquidity in Asian markets, the overall capital flow in the market has warmed up. As Bitcoin short-term holders face less unrealized losses, their willingness to sell proactively has diminished, and funds may shift toward higher-risk, higher-expected assets. As a niche token, PTRUMP stands to benefit from this round of capital rotation with incremental liquidity support, which could lead to increased trading activity and a relatively strong price performance in the short term.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel notes that Bitcoin's current rise benefits from reduced selling pressure by short-term holders, who are currently at a loss since BTC trades below their average acquisition cost. This limits their profit-taking potential and suppresses sell pressure, explaining price resilience despite pullbacks. However, if BTC reaches $100,000, short-term holders may break even and start selling, creating price pressure. A key bullish signal is BTC closing above the short-term holders' realized price.

Analyst: The current BTC rise benefits from reduced selling pressure; if it reaches $100K, it will face selling from short-term holders.

QCP's market analysis on January 5 highlights a strengthening crypto market in Asia, with Bitcoin and Ethereum surpassing $92,000 and $3,100 respectively, driven by US actions in Venezuela, year-end tax-loss trading, and rising crypto legislation expectations. Speculation about Venezuela holding significant "shadow Bitcoin reserves" and using USDT in oil trades could make it a major sovereign BTC holder. Options data show a bullish shift, with increased call options and straddle strategies indicating short covering and bets on upward volatility.

QCP: Venezuela Situation and Options Funding Resonance Strengthen Bullish Expectations in the Crypto Market

Although short-term liquidity improvements offer rebound opportunities, macro cycle assessments based on trading volume and market fees point to a cautious long-term outlook. There are signs of a bottoming rebound in the current market, but the overall macro cycle has yet to fully recover, and subsequent adjustments and volatility may still occur. For PTRUMP holders with medium- to long-term positioning, it is crucial to allow adequate space for risk management and avoid excessive concentration of exposure at cyclical highs.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Pepe Trump

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