Currently, HEX is constrained by insufficient liquidity in the derivatives market and weakening macro risk appetite. It is difficult to achieve a sustained surge in trading volume in the short term, and the price remains in a consolidation range (reference range support: $0.0028-0.0032 per token; if the lower bound is breached, downside risks may intensify). With both technical and capital pressures mounting, it is advisable to cautiously control position sizes. The short-term strategy should focus on holding key support levels and monitoring changes in trading volume. If the broader market strengthens in the future and HEX’s holding structure improves, consider buying on dips to participate in a rebound. For mid-term allocation, maintain flexibility to adapt to macro and market sentiment shifts.

Recently, there has been a slight increase in the overall trading volume of perpetual contract decentralized trading platforms, yet activity remains subdued compared to major cryptocurrencies. Although the open interest of perpetual contracts has seen an approximate 10% week-over-week increase, the overall liquidity improvement is mainly concentrated in leading projects. As a niche high-risk token, HEX has not attracted sufficient capital in this period. Therefore, derivatives market sentiment support is limited in the short term. Sustained volume growth is unlikely, and one should beware of intensified price volatility in a tug-of-war market.

Over the weekend, Perp DEX trading volumes were sluggish, with Hyperliquid leading at approximately $3.09B in 24-hour trading volume and an open interest of $7.77B, marking a 10% increase from the previous week. Variational and Paradex saw continuous growth, ranking fourth and fifth respectively. Other notable platforms include Lighter, Aster, EdgeX, and Pacifica, each with varying trading volumes, TVL, and open interest.

Overview of Major Perp DEXs: Weekend Trading Volume Slumps Across Platforms, Hyperliquid Open Interest Increases by 10% Compared to Last Week

Meme coin FISH reached a market cap of $12 million with a 35.7% 24-hour increase. Bitcoin briefly fell below $91,000 amid doubts about the crypto market rebound. US crypto stocks mostly declined, except Strategy, which rose 4.43%. Post-US employment data, the Fed's January rate cut probability decreased. Falcon launched an off-chain Bitcoin yield vault with an expected annual return of 3-5%. Perp DEX airdrops and Solana's "invisible tax" on users were also highlighted.

Key market information gap on January 8, must see! | Alpha Morning Report.

The reduced probability of a Fed rate cut at the beginning of the year has somewhat suppressed market risk appetite. Meanwhile, some data suggest there are initial signs of warming sentiment in the crypto asset space, but more confirmation signals are needed. The macro outlook is shifting toward a neutral-to-tight stance, placing short-term pressure on highly volatile small-cap assets. However, if market improvement continues, it may open up secondary allocation opportunities after risk control stabilizes. For HEX, mid-term risks should still be managed prudently, and opportunistic low entries should be based on broader market trends and derivatives position dynamics.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

From a historical candlestick perspective, the price of HEX has recently been hovering below the moving averages, and neither bulls nor bears have established a decisive upper hand. The overall reduction in trading volume indicates a lack of short-term bullish momentum, with technical indicators pointing to a continued range-bound pattern. If the price breaks below the current range support, it could trigger a new round of retracement. Conversely, one should observe whether trading volume can increase and break through the concentration area of multiple moving averages, which would be the basis for a mid-term rebound. Short-term traders should focus on holding support, controlling position sizes, and closely monitoring movements in the broader market and derivatives positions.

Pulsechain Bridged HEX (Pulsechain)

Federal Reserve's Mester: Inflation risks outweigh employment risks, policy rates may remain unchanged

Mousalem: A 2% inflation rate would mean that interest rates can be further lowered.

EUR/GBP: Cross seen creeping higher – Rabobank

Federal Reserve Treasury holdings rise to $4.4 trillion, a new high since July 2024

The Federal Reserve is unlikely to raise interest rates, as it could harm economic stability.

Poland’s central bank is set to keep interest rates unchanged for a second month, with policymakers expected to sharpen anti-inflation rhetoric as the conflict in Iran revives long-dormant price pressures.

SoSo Macro | Trump Pauses “Project Freedom”; US April ISM PMI Misses Expectations

Bond traders are betting that the probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike exceeds 50%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 96%, and the probability for July is 88.8%.

PHP: Inflation shock drives hawkish BSP path – UOB

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