SZN is currently in a phase of marginal liquidity improvement leading to a short-term rebound window. There is increased short-term activity, but overall market capitalization and sentiment indicators show limited confidence recovery. Technically, the price is moving sideways around key support levels (recent lows are suggested as key areas to watch). In the short term, a volume-driven breakout above resistance (watch previous highs) could present opportunities for following the trend, while a break below support should trigger decisive stop-loss actions. The medium to long-term outlook remains influenced by macro liquidity and structural divergence; flexible position adjustments are recommended to cope with uncertainties.

Signs of improving market liquidity are gradually emerging. The rotation among major coins has led to synchronized increases in some tokens. Nonetheless, overall market capitalization remains below previous highs, and sentiment indicators stay in the fear range, indicating that investor confidence has not fully recovered. It is still necessary to closely monitor subsequent changes in trading volume and market depth.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

At the start of the year, the crypto market saw a rare upward breakthrough with BTC surpassing $90,000 and major altcoins like ETH and SOL rising. Several altcoins, including PEPE and IP, surged over 20%. However, key indicators show the market is still in a "price repair" phase with overall market cap below previous highs, a low altseason index, and fear-dominated sentiment. While some view this as a buying opportunity amid improving liquidity and macroeconomic developments, caution remains advised.

Speculation sentiment rises again at the beginning of the year, is the altcoin season repeating?

Due to marginal improvement in capital inflows, the market has seen a phase of rebound. The recovery in trading volume and transaction fees confirms increased activity at the bottom, suggesting the short-term rebound may continue. However, caution is warranted that this rebound may merely be a corrective move; without sustained incremental fund inflows, the rebound momentum will be difficult to maintain.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

Some opinions forecast a future bull market based on improvements in macro and industry environments. However, from the perspective of macro cycles and trading data, medium to long-term market trends remain uncertain. A structural bull market may persist, but the ability of external liquidity to provide ongoing support remains a critical variable.

Recent candlestick movements display sideways oscillation, with prices hovering near key support levels and clear indecision between bulls and bears during periods of low bid activity. An effective breakout above resistance accompanied by increased volume could usher in a new wave of accumulation in the short term; on the other hand, losing the support level calls for caution against false breakout risks.

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