WAVE's liquidity is recovering in the bottom area, forming a short-term consolidation and rebound pattern. However, trading volume and on-chain capital remain persistently weak, and the macro downtrend has not been fundamentally reversed. The current rally is judged to be more sentiment-driven rather than a structural reversal, so beware of the risk of retracement following false breakouts. In the short term, focus on multi-year lows and short-term moving average support (key area: 3.80-4.10), strictly control positions, dynamically track capital flow and on-chain activity, and only consider trend-following strategies after clear improvement in capital and confirmed technical resonance.

Recently, WAVE's price has been oscillating within the bottom range, with intraday trading volume showing a moderate increase, reflecting stronger capital inflow willingness due to recovering liquidity. From a market sentiment perspective, short-term buying interest has risen, causing prices to stabilize near key support levels and providing momentum for subsequent rebounds.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

Despite short-term sentiment improvement, on-chain indicators such as trading volume and fees show that overall capital levels remain low with no significant rebound, indicating the macro cycle has not truly bottomed out. Market participants should be cautious of potential further declines after the rebound and avoid premature confirmation of trend reversals.

Next, attention should focus on WAVE's performance at short-term moving averages and multi-year low support levels, while monitoring capital flows, derivative positions, and changes in on-chain transaction fees. Only when price holds at support and capital conditions continue to improve can a trend reversal be confirmed; until then, maintain position control and risk management.

Waveform by Virtuals

British Pound: Growth slowdown and BoE tightening – BNP Paribas

Norwegian Krone: Norges Bank's surprise hike and risk support – HSBC

Eurozone: Higher inflation and ECB hikes projected – BNP Paribas

Brazilian economists raised their interest rate forecast for next year as inflation comes under pressure from resilient domestic demand and an energy shock caused by the Iran war.

Japanese Yen: Intervention and BoJ policy in focus – HSBC

Fed: Extended pause before late 2026 cut – UOB

2024–2026: Asset repricing amid persistently high interest rates

Mitsubishi UFJ: Stalemate in US-Iran negotiations intensifies inflation concerns, causing gold prices to drop.

Koehler: Unless the situation significantly improves, interest rate hikes are inevitable.

The European Central Bank will raise interest rates twice this year as the Iran war drives inflation higher, a Bloomberg survey shows.

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